Close

Results 1 to 1 of 1
  1. #1
    DF VIP Member ganjaman2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    croseyceiliog
    Posts
    1,929
    Thanks
    352
    Thanked:        1,639
    Karma Level
    352

    Default IRISH CHAMPION HURDLE TRENDS 2017

    The BHP Insurance Irish Champion Hurdle takes place at Leopardstown on Sunday 29th January. The race has been won by some of the best Irish hurdlers of recent times including Brave Inca, Hardy Eustace, Istabraq and Hurricane Fly, who won 5 renewals. The two key races, which provide pointers for this recently, are the Punchestown Champion Hurdle and Ryanair Hurdle.

    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

    Age (Win-Place-Runners)
    4yo: 0-0-2
    5yo: 0-1-10
    6yo: 2-3-13
    7yo: 1-3-11
    8yo: 2-1-7
    9yo: 1-2-5
    10yo+: 4-1-11
    6yos have the best individual record having won 5 of the last 15 renewals and were not represented in 5 of the other 9 runnings since 2002.
    7 of 8 winners 8+ had previously won the Cheltenham Champion Hurdle (other was 3rd in previous season’s Champion Hurdle)

    Recent/Past Form
    10 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time (8 won)
    8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 160+ last time (2 exceptions posted RPR's of 151 & 157)
    9 of 10 winners had run 2 or 3 times that season (exception was making seasonal debut but had won previous year's race)
    9 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 hurdle (exception had won the grade 3 Greatwood handicap hurdle and was having his first run at grade 1 level)
    8 of 10 winners had previously won at Leopardstown (1 exception was placed on both previous runs here and other having first course run)
    9 of 10 winners had won over 2M 4F+

    Other Races
    Previous year's winner (Faugheen): 2221111 (4-3-7)
    Leopardstown Festival Hurdle winner (Petit Mouchoir): 2341141113 (5-1-10)
    Morgiana Hurdle winner (Nichols Canyon): 851231113 (4-1-9)
    Champion Hurdle winner (Annie Power): 21131 (3-1-5)
    Hatton's Grace winner (Apple's Jade): 2P142 (1-2-5)
    Aintree Hurdle winner (Annie Power): 631 (1-0-3)
    Spring Juvenile Hurdle winner (Footpad): 42 (0-0-2)
    Triumph Hurdle winner (Ivanovich Gorbatov): 24 (0-0-2)
    Istabraq Hurdle winner (Ivan Grozny): 435 (0-0-3)
    8 of 10 winners ran in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle, finishing 31111121
    7 of 10 winners ran in the Ryanair Hurdle last time, finishing 3111111
    6 of 10 winners finished ran in previous Cheltenham Champion Hurdle, finishing 413141
    5 of 10 winners ran in previous year's Irish Champion Hurdle, finishing 71111
    5 of 10 winners ran in the Morgiana, finishing 11112
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Aintree Hurdle, finishing 21
    2 of 10 winners had run in the Hatton's Grace, finishing 21

    Trainers
    Willie Mullins (6-3-13) saddled Hurricane Fly to win this 5 times and also Faugheen to win it last year.
    Henry De Bromhead (1-0-1) trained Sizing Europe to win this in 2008.

    Price
    9 of 10 winners (last 9) were priced 10/3 or shorter
    Favourites (7-2-11) have won 7 of the last 10 giving a level stakes profit of 1.22.

    Summary:
    Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
    - Aged 6 or a previous Cheltenham Champion Hurdle winner
    - Won last time out
    - Posted an RPR of 160+ last time
    - Run 2 or 3 times this season
    - Previously won a grade 1 hurdle
    - Previously won at Leopardstown
    - Finished in first 4 in 2016 Champion Hurdle
    - Finished in first 3 in 2016 Irish Champion and/or Hatton’s Grace Hurdle
    - Won the Ryanair, Morgiana and/or Punchestown Champ Hurdle
    - Priced 10/3 or shorter (favourite has a strong record)
    - Trained by Willie Mullins

    Thanks to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (11th January 2017)  


Similar Threads

  1. Irish numbers
    By Bazzer in forum The Comedy Club
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 18th April 2003, 07:25 PM
  2. Irish Sports
    By Bazzer in forum The Comedy Club
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 25th March 2003, 11:01 AM
  3. Irish atomic clock..
    By gunner in forum The Dog and Duck
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 22nd November 2002, 11:12 AM
  4. Irish joke---Sorry Ireland
    By mikey in forum The Comedy Club
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 3rd October 2002, 02:24 AM

Social Networking Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •