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    Default Kempton, Newcastle and Fairyhouse - Saturday 24/2/2018

    1.15 Kempton – Back Or Lay On Betdaq Handicap Hurdle


    Firstly, there are a couple at the top of the weights here that are chasers who look to be having prep runs over hurdles here or simply trying to revive their career, Premier Bond and Our Kaempfer look unlikely winners.


    Nicky Henderson saddles two others in the race in the shape of Monbeg Legend and Take To Heart – both have claims returning to this better ground after below-par runs on a softer surface last time out. The former is a very lightly-raced eight-year-old who was unbeaten up to that last run, when well-beaten by Boite at Taunton and that run did seem to expose some limitations even though the ground wasn’t ideal. Monbeg Legend races off the same mark here and has the services of 5lb claimer Ned Curtis once more, so he certainly shouldn’t run a bad race, while the fact he’s had that run in January (his first in six months) should mean that he’s a bit closer to full match fitness than he was then. He’s also got the positive that after just four runs under rules, there could well be plenty of improvement still to come so he’s certainly respected.


    Take to Heart is similarly ground-dependent it seems and is another who will enjoy this better surface after struggling last time as Ascot in November. Her Majesty The Queen’s horse is similarly unexposed and at just six years of age, could have a lot more in the tank. A switch to front-running made the difference in the summer as he racked up two wins on the bounce, but the jump to decent company found him out last time and I wonder if his summer jumping exploits show that he only really comes into his own when the sun’s on his back and temperatures are a bit higher. A mark of 132 certainly isn’t a gift either so while he may well be supported on the day, I wonder what price he’d be if he was owned and trained by someone else – double it I’d imagine.


    Nick Gifford’s The Mighty Don has run two decent races in succession recently, finishing second both times despite having his stamina examined at both Ascot over 2m5f and the Huntingdon over 3m. He’s a hardy sort but doesn’t seem the type who will be pulling up trees any time soon. The ground and trip will certainly be no problem, but you’d think that the quality of race might be – he was well beaten at Cheltenham in a similar event to this back in October and the horse that won the race that day is just 9lb worse off for 19 lengths, so it may be difficult for him to turn the tables, even though the track is a very different one.


    The horse in question is the Tim Vaughan-trained MASTER DANCER, who bolted up in a Chepstow handicap on the flat before that impressive Cheltenham win. He followed it up with a good fourth in from a 12lb higher mark in a very steadily run race at Newbury, won by Old Guard, and that form may turn out to be much better than it seems due to the way the race was run and how he was easily the best of those that were held up. I don’t think they’ll be hanging around in this, so the strong tempo will suit him much better and the 1lb rise in the weights shouldn’t be enough to stop his progress either, as long as he’s still in form after his two-month break. Decent ground is ideal for him (possibly the reason for the break) and despite not having the assistance of Richard Johnson again here, Alan Johns is 1 from 1 on the horse so that’s not too much of an issue either. For a horse that ran a cracker in a much better race than this last time, a race that wasn’t run to suit and that was on slightly softer ground than ideal, 7/1 looks an absolute gift price and I can’t see MASTER DANCER out of the first three, all things being well.


    Django Django looks to be a major threat to the selection after winning quite nicely over two miles at Huntingdon in January and Jonjo O’Neill’s horses do tend to improve for a step up in trip. A mark of 125 for his handicap debut could be a workable one but this will be run on very different ground to his last couple of races, so he’ll have to prove he handles this sounder surface. He may also miss the 7lb claim of Jonjo O’Neill Jr, but Aidan Coleman certainly isn’t a bad replacement.


    Another who may well be in there with a shout towards the end is Alan King’s Criq Rock, despite being well-beaten on heavy ground last time out at Wincanton. He’s another who heads in to handicap company for the first time from a mark of 125 and if he can put his best foot forward on a more suitable surface, he could be in with a chance. His short head second behind Topofthegame at Ascot in December 2016 looks decent form now and he could have a bit in hand of his mark, but the major issue with this horse is his jumping – he has a bad habit of making a mess of one or two flights along the way and he surely won’t be able to afford to do that here, even if his trainer has a great record at this meeting.


    Advice


    MASTER DANCER – 1pt e/w @ 8/1 (Coral) (1/4 odds)




    2.45 Newcastle – Betfred Eider Handicap Chase


    There are very few races on the calendar that test a horse’s stamina more than the Eider, and given the usual heavy ground, which they have to contend with once again here, it could be argued that this is even more of a marathon than the Grand National.


    Comply Or Die was the last horse to land the double 10 years ago and given the hugely differing ground conditions that the races are usually run on, I wouldn’t think that would change any time soon.


    Proven stamina is a must so past winners Portrait King (2012) and Milborough (2015) immediately appeal, especially with them lurking towards the lower end of the weights. They are both firmly in the twilight of their careers now though so preference is for another contender with very little weight on his back in WEST OF THE EDGE. Although a ten-year-old, he only really sparked into life last season and has continued his good work in the current campaign, having a couple of spins over hurdles before having to settle for second behind the well-treated former Welsh National winner Emperor’s Choice at Haydock. Thankfully, that solid effort hasn’t affected his handicap mark which keeps him on a very favourable 10st 5lb here. He will need another career-best to get his head in front here but this bid has been a year in the making (connections mooted the Eider and Midlands National as potential targets last March) and there aren’t many handlers better than Dr Richard Newland in getting one ready for a slog like this.


    Since Comply Or Die’s win a decade ago, only Portrait King has shouldered more than 11st 1lb to victory, which isn’t a surprise at all given the usual heavy going but it does outline the fact that those at the head of the handicap, Chase The Spud. Houblon des Obeaux, Milansbar, Baywing and Hainan, look to have it all to do.


    Therefore, the biggest threat to the selection could well be Vinnie Lewis. The seven-year-old is lightly-raced under Rules having just 10 starts under his belt but has been in scintillating form on his last two starts, hosing up at Sedgefield before making a mockery of a 14lb rise when again winning with a bit in hand in the Sussex National at Plumpton last month. He has another 9lb rise to contend with here but looked to be able to cope with that last time, form which has been franked by the runner-up a wide-margin victor at Carlisle on Monday, and arrives here as a leading contender. This is by far the biggest test of his career so far though and at a price of 5/1 at the time of writing, that looks far too skinny for me.


    Of the remainder, Back To The Thatch would be of interest following his easy win at Chepstow last time and with Champion Jockey Richard Johnson remaining in the saddle, but he would be making history as the first six-year-old to win the race and this stout test is probably too much for a staying chaser in the fledgling stage of its career. Smooth Stepper is another last-time-out winner that would need considering but he was well beaten in sixth in last year’s renewal and has a 4lb higher mark to contend with this time round.


    Advice


    WEST OF THE EDGE – 1pt e/w @ 7/1 (Paddy Power) (4 places – 1/4 odds)




    2.55 Fairyhouse – Tommy Carberry Handicap Hurdle.


    Although not a Graded contest, this handicap hurdle always tends to be a pretty warm contest, none more so than last year when Presenting Percy landed the spoils.
    Carrig Cathal finished third 12 months ago, beaten eight lengths, and races off the same mark here. He has since left Gordon Elliott following an unsuccessful chase debut and while a change in surroundings may be what he needed to get back on track, it looks unlikely that he will better that returning from a lengthy absence.


    Elliott has enjoyed success in this race in recent times, notably with JP McManus’ Squouateur in 2016, and the same connections return for another crack here with Sire du Berlais. It’s probably fair to say the French import disappointed in his pair of runs last season, albeit in some pretty decent contests, and may just need his first run for almost ten months to put him right for the big spring Festivals. He could be up to hitting the frame but it will be on easy task to defy top weight and Mark Walsh seems to have overlooked him in favour of Out Of The Loop.


    The five-year-old was a taking winner on his final start for Christy Roche over course and distance back in December and although a 9lb rise doesn’t make things easy on his first start for Christy’s son Padraig, he could be well up to getting involved off his revised mark. It’s the manner in which he has kicked on up the run-in that has really impressed when landing his pair of hurdle wins and it is that extra gear that will really count as he steps up in class. Another big run is expected.


    However, preference is for TURBOJET who returns to a more realistic test having raced over 3m last time out and pitched in against Samcro in the Grade 3 Monksfield Novice Hurdle at Navan on his penultimate start. The flat-bred seven-year-old has stayed on well at the finish in his races but always looked to be stretched by 3m so this 2m4f in testing ground looks to be his optimum trip/conditions. He is only 2lb higher than when again possibly stretched by an extended 2m6f at Limerick back in October, for which he was sent off the well-fancied 5/4 favourite, and should be revved up for a big run here having had a mini-break since the New Year.


    Of the remainder, Lean Araig remains an intriguing contender despite being tailed off on his return from nearly three years off at Punchestown on New Year’s Eve. He will undoubtedly strip fitter for that run and while it remains to be seen how much of his ability he retains following a torrid time of it with injuries, if he produces anything like the form that saw him land a Grade 2 novice back in February 2015, he would be bang there.


    Advice


    TURBOJET – 1pt e/w @ 7/1 (Coral) (1/4 odds)




    3.00 Kempton – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)



    The Dovecote has been a race dominated by the big yards in recent years with Alan King and Nicky Henderson both registering three wins and Paul Nicholls two in the last nine years. Their runners look the ones to focus on here but it is Nicholls’ MONT DES AVALOIRS who looks to hold the strongest claims.


    The five-year-old was heavily punted for the Grade 1 Tolworth on his latest start and was running a mighty race from the front until the forcing tactics on very heavy ground seemed to take their toll and he weakened into third. Although eventually well beaten by Summerville Boy and runner-up Kalashnikov (who has since boosted the form with victory in the Betfair hurdle), it was still a fair effort and the forecast better ground here will be more conducive to his usual front-running style. The application of a hood for the first time will also help in keeping him from going off too hard in the early stages.


    On official ratings, he is the best horse in the race and may just have an edge on his main rivals who although they may be classy types on the level, embark on their hurdling careers in a pretty warm contest. Nicky Henderson’s Humphrey Bogart was arguably the best of these on the Flat with his Listed Derby Trial defeat of the re-opposing Carntop and fifth-place finish behind Harzand in the 2016 Derby standout efforts. However, he hasn’t been seen since August of that year and may just need this.


    Therefore, Scarlet Dragon could prove the biggest danger to the selection now joining Alan King and having had a wind-op. The five-year-old won a couple of valuable handicaps for Eve Johnson Houghton back in 2016 and still seemed in decent heart upped to pattern-level last campaign, finishing a narrow second in the Group 3 September Stakes at Kempton on his penultimate start. He looks the archetypal flat recruit that King excels with but is another who could probably benefit from getting this run under his belt.


    King is double-handed in his bid to extend his good record in this race and Ballywood must be considered. Four-year-olds have gone off the radar in more recent times but have proven themselves capable of winning the Dovecote and his 4lb allowance will come in handy. With this being his first run for current connections having been bought privately from Francois Nicolle, he could be anything but has shown a fair level of ability in France, for all the form hasn’t particularly been boosted. He hasn’t been seen since a beaten favourite when runner-up in a chase at Fontainebleau and is interesting without possibly being a viable betting option.


    Of the remainder, Michael’s Mount has a bit to find with a couple of these in his flat exploits but already looks as least as good over the sticks, scoring in good fashion in a competitive Doncaster novice earlier this month. He will need to step up on that to feature but could well have it in his locker to nick a place. Destrier and Global Citizen both arrive on the back of wide-margin victories but look more likely handicap prospects than mixing it at this level.


    Advice



    MONT DES AVALOIRS – 1pt win @ 5/2 (SkyBet)




    3.35 Kempton – Betdaq Handicap Chase (Grade 3)



    This race often goes the way of a genuine Graded performer, a theory confirmed by the fact that six of the last ten winners had recorded victories in Class 2 company or higher prior to coming here. This is something of a stumbling block for four of this year’s field with Master Dee, Relentless Dreamer, Monbeg Charmer and Theatre Territory all hoping to prove themselves capable at this higher level.


    It is also worth noting that seven of the last ten winners finished in the first five places on their most recent start. Three of those won last time which bodes well for Acting Lass, who is the only last time out winner in this year’s field. We should therefore focus our attentions on those arriving here in form, which makes up just over half of Saturday’s line-up.



    The amount of weight carried often impacts on a horse’s ability to compete at the business end of a race but the pattern in this three miles contest maybe different to what you might expect. In fact, six of the last ten winners have carried 10st 12lb or more to victory. Those to miss out this time around are Relentless Dreamer, Monbeg Charmer, Ballykan and Theatre Territory, as well as Loose Chips, whose jockey’s claim takes him below the 10st 1lb threshold.


    The success of Nacarat in 2012 at the age of 11 may lead some to believe that you are best sticking to those towards the higher end of the age spectrum. However, the most successful age-group is in fact those aged between seven and nine who account for nine of the last ten winners. They include the vast majority of this year’s field apart from the ten-year-old Josses Hill, eleven-year-old Theatre Guide and twelve-year-old Loose Chips.


    The final factor worthy of consideration is that seven of the last ten winners of the Betdaq Chase have come from the first four in the betting. This suggests that the market is often a good guide as to the likely protagonists in the closing stages of the contest. When considering that there have been only five winners in the last eleven years with double figure SPs it certainly looks as though it is worth focusing on those at the head of the betting rather than looking for an outsider.


    Shortlist

    ACTING LASS – 5/5

    Master Dee – 4/5

    Art Mauresque – 4/5


    Conclusion


    Taking everything into account, the one who stands out is ACTING LASS. Harry Fry’s seven-year-old has won his first three starts over fences and his latest victory at Ascot in January suggested he could well end up being a bit better than a handicapper. Given his lightly-raced profile, there is every chance that we haven’t seen the limit of his abilities yet and with the step up to 3m likely to hold no fears for him, he looks the one to beat here.


    Just missing out on the top spot is Master Dee, who hasn’t been seen since finishing second at Aintree back in November. Fergal O’Brien’s nine-year-old has been very consistent in his chasing career so far, finishing in the first three on each of his eleven starts over the larger obstacles. He is more exposed than the main selection but he wasn’t beaten far at Aintree last time and there is every chance that there could still be more to come from him.


    The final member of the shortlist is Art Mauresque who chased home subsequent Grade 1 winner Waiting Patiently at Kempton last month. That was a much better effort than Paul Nicholls’ eight-year-old had produced for a while but it is worth noting that he has an excellent record at Kempton Park. In three visits to the course, he has won twice and finished second on the other occasion and returning to this venue, he has to be respected.


    Advice


    ACTING LASS – 1pt win @ 4/1 (Ladbrokes)




    3.40 Chepstow – Pertemps Opportunities Around The Corner Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier)



    Paul Nicholls won this race two years ago with Arpege D’Alene and is doubly-represented here as he goes in search of another victory. The weights are skewed somewhat by Ptit Zig, whose inclusion off a mark of 150 means that the remainder of the field carry 10st 12lb or less. The nine-year-old does have plenty of smart form to his name and although he has been out of sorts of late, you only have to go back to April to see he finished second to L’Ami Serge. This is his first run in handicap company since finishing second to Willow’s Saviour in December 2013 and although he has a lot of weight to concede to his rivals, the 3lb allowance of jockey Stan Sheppard should make life a little easier for him.


    His stablemate Connetable also has some valuable weight taken off his back as he will be ridden by Bryony Frost, who continues to fire in the winners. He has held his form pretty well since being refitted with blinkers in December and his latest third in a similar race at Musselburgh wasn’t bad at all. He would probably have found Musselburgh on the sharp side for him and granted a stronger stamina test, it would be no surprise to see him right in the mix in the closing stages.


    Kim Bailey’s Sainte Ladylime has mixed chases and hurdles this term but having unseated at Haydock in December, she has focussing on the smaller obstacles of late. He return to hurdles saw her go close at Ludlow in January, finishing second to Jeremy Scott’s progressive mare Ellens Way. She was no match for La Bague Au Roi in Grade 2 company last time but this looks a more sensible target and she should go well.


    With the ground likely to be testing, one horse who should relish conditions is Eminent Poet, with five of his six career victories coming on heavy ground. Venetia Williams’ seven-year-old got his head in front at Haydock in December under this jockey and although he ran well when third at Chepstow next time, his latest effort at Warwick left a lot to be desired. Clearly something was amiss that day but the handicapper has dropped him a couple of pounds which means he is just 1lb above his last winning mark. His overall form suggests he is not the most consistent of performers but if he puts his best foot forward, he couldn’t be ruled out.


    In terms of top handicap form, there are few with better claims than Coeur Blimey who has run in the Betfair Hurdle and Lanzarote Hurdle on his last two starts. Sue Gardner’s seven-year-old was running on well from the back at Newbury last time and I think it is fair to say that he is often overlooked because of his connections. He has shown enough on his last two outings to suggest he has a nice race in him but I’m not sure he is crying out for a step up to three miles.


    With that in mind, the one who makes most appeal is BOOK OF GOLD. Oliver Sherwood’s six-year-old has shown steady improvement in his career to date and has run behind the likes of Tikkanbar and Mr Whipped this season. He turned in a fine effort when running Tommy Rapper to a length and a quarter at Doncaster in January and considering that horse won a handicap off a mark of 135 last weekend, there is every chance that this horse could be well-handicapped on 125. His latest run was his first in handicap company and he was far from disgraced, finishing third to Talkischeap, although he probably paid for setting a strong early pace in the latter stage of the contest. A more conservative ride is likely to show him in a better light and with cheekpieces also fitted for the first time here, I think he is primed for a big run.


    Advice


    BOOK OF GOLD – 1pt win @ 9/2 (Coral, Ladbrokes)



    3.55 Newcastle – Betfred Like Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle.


    Just the seven runners for this handicap hurdle but it still looks a competitive race with Keith Dalgleish’s Mirsaale topping the weights. The eight-year-old ran in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle in the autumn and having been well-beaten there, he turned in a similar effort when upped to 3m next time. However, he bounced back to form when causing a shock at Kelso last time and with the small field scenario likely to suit, he can’t be ruled out despite his big weight.


    Towards the bottom of the weights, Joke Dancer and Reverant Cust are both closely matched having met at Haydock in January. It was the former who came out on top that day but he was all out to hold his rival who was finishing strongly from the back of the field. Peter Atkinson’s seven-year-old has since won at Catterick and I don’t expect there to be much between them again here.


    Brian Ellison has won two of the last four renewals of this particular race and it would be no surprise to see Smart Talk turn in a much improved effort for the yard here. She was a Listed and Grade 2 winner as a novices in 2015/16 but had been off the track since finishing down the field in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle at the end of that season. She made her reappearance in the Grade 2 Yorkshire Rose Mares’ Hurdle at Doncaster last month but it was a lot to ask on her return and she duly came home in her own time. I expect her to improve a good deal from that and although it takes quite a leap of faith to see her winning, it would be no surprise to see her shape much better with that run under her belt.


    Probably the best piece of form in the field belongs to Master Of Irony who was fourth in the Gerry Feilden at Newbury the last time we saw him. John Quinn’s six-year-old was unsuited by the slow gallop that day but made rapid headway in the closing stages and races off the same mark here. I suspect he would prefer a bigger field but he was able to win a 2m handicap with just twelve runners in October so he shouldn’t have any excuses. The biggest concern for him would be the form of the yard and also the fact that Richard Johnson (who rode him to success at Wetherby in October) deserts him here.


    Taking that into account, the one who gets the nod is COOL MIX who got off the mark at the fourth attempt over hurdles at the end of January. Iain Jardine’s six-year-old had bumped into some decent rivals in maiden hurdles before that but looked to have a bit in hand as he won under Brian Hughes at Kelso. He starts off life in handicaps on a mark of 118 and with Richard Johnson seemingly choosing him over Master Of Irony, he gets the vote.


    Advice


    COOL MIX – 1pt win @ 9/2 (bet365)



    4.10 Kempton – Betdaq 2% Commission Exchange Handicap Chase.


    Heading the weights for this 8-runner 0-130 handicap is I’dliketheoption from Jonjo O’Neill’s stable who is dropping back down in class after being well beaten in the Listed Summer Plate at Market Rasen when last seen over 200 days ago. He’s clearly ground dependent and this drying surface will suit him well – his win in May off 125 was on good ground and he’s 6lb higher in the weights now, so not a huge amount. Thanks to racing from a mark of 131 here though, he’ll have to carry 12st1lb in the race and even with Barry Geraghty in the saddle, that would be a tough task for any horse, let alone one coming off a long break. I’d have a feeling that he’ll need the run.


    Kayf Blanco has been campaigned nicely over fences by Graeme McPherson this season and his route through some decent novice contests has almost borne fruit as he’s finished placed in two handicap chases at Wetherby on soft ground. Both of those races were half decent contests, especially the second, won by now 144-rated Mercian Prince, but they were with conditions very different to what he’ll encounter here. Sticking to two and a half miles looks a good plan judging by that last run at 2m3f, but he’s never won on ground any better than soft despite connections believing he enjoys better ground, so even though he looks very fairly handicapped off 128, that’s a factor he’ll have to overcome. Still, if he jumps well, he’s sure to be there or thereabouts.


    After running over hurdles on his last two runs, Fourth Act returns to chasing and could be well-handicapped on his best form. The first of those two runs – his first run since a wind op – seemed to show that it had worked the oracle as he defeated Theo’s Charm in heavy ground over 2m5f. However, his next run at Sandown in a Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle over three miles wasn’t as encouraging as he finished well-beaten. This switch back no fences presents an opportunity for him, especially now his stable’s back in good form and this mark of 128 is just 2lb higher than for his last win over fences in February 2016, where he bolted up over this trip at Wincanton. Although he does seem to enjoy soft ground, he’s won on good to firm in the past, so he isn’t ground dependent and if he can get a nice prominent position and kick for home early to draw the sting out of some of his rivals, he could be tough to pass late on with his abundant stamina.


    Tom George’s stable often begins to hit some good form at this time of year with the ground beginning to turn for the better, so his entry, Valseur Du Granval, has to be respected with conditions in his favour His seasonal reappearance behind No Ceiling was disappointing, but he’s been given plenty of time off since and has been dropped to a 3lb lower mark, one that is just 3lb higher than his last winning mark and 2lb lower than when he was a close second to Days Of Heaven in May. If the ground is genuinely good, then this horse could go well, but you’d expect a degree of moisture in there still and the combination of that and his poor recent efforts do temper enthusiasm somewhat.


    Speaking of No Ceiling, he did win well on that occasion back in December, but has been hit with a rather harsh-looking 11lb rise in the weights and judging by the break he’s had since that win, connections must have felt the same. He’s had a break to freshen him up, but even though Ian Williams’ charge looked much improved, he’ll have to have come on plenty again to defy that weights hike in a better race and I’m happy to swerve him at a shortish price.


    Another who will have to overcome a poor recent effort is Paul Nicholls’ FAVORITO BUCK’S, who was pulled up over C&D in November when jumping very shoddily in a similar handicap. However, his run over 2m2f at this venue earlier showed plenty of promise for the first time since he made the trip over from France as a highly touted youngster in 2015, jumping well and keeping on strongly towards the finish to close on the leading pair. After that effort, he was a well-backed favourite on his next run, only to disappoint, but I think he could well be worth another chance to show that he’s turning the corner now and could be on a good mark as that looked a ‘too-bad-to-be-true’ effort. Sometimes, it does take horses quite a while to acclimatise to Britain after coming over from France and this six-year-old could well be one of those – I doubt that Nicholls expected him to be no better than a 120-rated chaser when he got him in the yard. However, he does have time on his side and interestingly, holds an entry for the Novices’ Handicap Chase on the opening Day of the Cheltenham Festival, a race he’d have to go up the best part of 20lb to get into. Unless FAVORITO BUCK’S wins here and then runs and wins quickly again, he won’t be taking up that engagement, so he’ll have to quickly re-find the form from when he easily beat Sympa Des Flos and El Terremoto back in a Listed hurdle in France – if he can, he’s potentially very well-handicapped and I’m willing to take the risk that he can jump well and that he’s got more in the tank.


    Despite not being a ‘fashionable’ option in this race, Oliver Sherwood’s Enjoy Responsibly could well hold decent claims here returned to better ground – he was a close fourth to the improving Creep Desbois at Fakenham last time out on what was unsuitably soft ground. Jumping is his forte and having to bypass the last there on soft ground didn’t help his chance, turning the run-in into a slog, so Kempton and goodish ground should suit much better. He’s also been dropped another pound in the weights and 7lb claimer Harrison Beswick returns to the saddle so he’s effectively 8lb lower than for his last run, making a decent performance likely.


    One who nearly always runs well at this venue is the Chris Gordon-trained Rothman and from the same mark off which he was second to the improving Mercian Prince, he must hold claims. He’s a consistent type who very rarely runs a bad race, but he does struggle to keep his head in front as he sets things up for his rivals quite often – he’s only won once in this country and that was back in August 2015 and he’s finished second or third more than ten times since. His mark is tempting and his consistency admirable, but you’ll always thing that he’s going to get beaten by something.


    Advice


    FAVORITO BUCK’S – 0.5pts e/w @ 13/2 (General)

    Thanks to ganjaman2

    neilb (24th February 2018)  


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