2.05 - Scott Dobson 30th Birthday Memorial Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f
9 previous runnings
9/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Foaled in February or later
8/9 – Had won over 6f before
8/8 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/9 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/9 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/9 – Won last time out
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – March-born foals
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/9 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 36% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 29% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

CONCLUSION

: The Richard Hannon yard have a cracking record in this contest – winning it in 2011 and 2013 – and clearly mean business again with three entered - Tomily, Grizzel and Khafoo Shememi. All three have a chance on what they’ve shown to date, but KAHAFOO SHEMEMI is the least exposed so gets the nod. Top jockey Ryan Moore is a big plus in the saddle and with just two runs there will be surely be more to come, especially now back in trip after finding 7f out of range last time. Add in that this horse ticks the main five key trends then this just adds to his chance. Of the others, the William Muir stable won this in 2014, so their Nuclear Power is worth a shout too. Yes, the yard is a bit quiet at present, but the posititve are that the horse will find this easier than the Group Three he ran in most recently. Having won their last two starts then Comedy School and Timeless Flight are others to have on your shortlist, while, the last one to get a mention is Rosie Briar. The horse has a lot to find on these terms looking at her rating, but the Andrew Balding team have an impressive 36% strike-rate at the course with their juveniles so this filly, who won last time out, might be one to go well at a nice price.

2.40 - Sunbets.co.uk Top Price Templegate Tips Handicap Cl2 5f

12/12 – Ran 5 or more times that season
11/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
7/12 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/12 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Winners from stall 1
1/12 – Winning mare/filly
Dungannon won the race in 2013 and 2014
The average winning SP in the 9 years is 11/1

CONCLUSION:

A tough race with 22 entered, but hopefully the trends will help on that front! – The Andrew Balding-trained Dungannon won the prize in 2013 and 2014 so is a good place to start. Yes, this 9 years-old is not getting any younger, but the horse is still running with credit and although he finished down the field last year any past winner of the race deserves a mention. In terms of his past ratings he’s now 10lbs lower than his 2013 win, 11lbs lower that his 2014 success, plus has 7lbs less than 12 months ago – any rain would also be a plus to his chance. Looking at the main stats then with 11 of the last 12 winners aged 5 or younger then this has been another good indicator in recent times. Despite the competitive look of the contest we’ve actually seen 3 of the last 12 favourites winning, but with 8 of the last 12 carrying 8-10 or less in weight then this is another decent stat to apply. It the age and weight trends are combined then the 22 runners become just 8 – Orvar, Mont Kiara, Kasbah, A momentofmadness, Kibaar, Tithonus, Udontdodou and Hilary J. Of that bunch, KIBAAR, who was a fine second last time out at York behind another of today’s runners – Robot Boy – looks set to go close again. Plus, TITHONUS, who makes the trip over from Ireland, has won 6 of his last 9 starts and is another of those eight is of interest with connections feeling it’s worthy in sending him all the way over.

3.15 - Bet Through The Racing Post App Handicap Cl2 1m4f
13/14 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/14 – Rated between 82 and 87
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or less
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/14 – Drawn in a single-figure stall
9/14 – Aged 3 years-old
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Returned between 9/2 and 6/1 in the betting
5/14 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Argus won the race 12 months ago

CONCLUSION:

The two at the foot of the card - To Be Wild and UAE Prince - look to have decent chances as they both get weight from the others, while with just a few runs each then there should be more to come. That said, with 13 of the last 14 winners having raced at least three times that season then they both fail on that front, with this race going to a slightly more-experienced horse in recent times. 12 of the last 14 carried 9-3 or less in weight, so if that’s to be backed-up again then the top four on the card have this to overcome. Top jockey, Ryan Moore, stands out riding Wrangler for William Haggas, but this horse has had its issues and only returned to the track a few weeks ago after 2 years off. Trendsetter and Mukayyam are two last-time-out winners so warrant respect based on that, but the interesting one that fits most of the key stats is PERCY STREET. This Karl Burke-trained 3 year-old has been running a lot in better class races this season and also didn’t disgrace himself when 5th (only beaten 3 ¼ lengths) last time at Ayr. Okay, he’s attempting 1m4f for the first time but runs as if he’ll get the extra yardage and jockey Jordan Vaughan, who claims a valuable 3lbs, gets on well with the horse. The main danger may be Argus, who took this race 12 months ago. He’s one of just three past course and distance winners in the line-up and being on the same mark as 12 months ago then he’s certainly not one to put a line through

3.50 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo)
14/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/14 - Foaled in February or later
12/14 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
12/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Raced with the last month
10/14 – Winning favourites
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/14 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/14 – Won their last race
8/14 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
5/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/14 – Won by a Montjeu colt
4/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/14 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/14 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 14 runnings is 15/2

CONCLUSION:

This season finale Group One has turned into the Aidan O’Brien masterclass in recent times with seven wins. The popular Irish handler has had another cracking campaign and, once again, has got a strong hand with three of the 10 runners, with his main hope looking set to be YUCATAN. This 2 year-old was a close runner-up in the Beresford Stakes at the Curragh last time and on that form looks the one to beat. He’s another that has a lot of the main trends on his side and being a late May foal then there should be more to come from this horse - being he’s 2-4 months younger than a lot of these then, therefore, also open to further improvement. The Anvil and Finn McCool are their other runners. Jockey Andrea Atzeni has spoiled O’Brien dominance in recent years though as he’s ridden the winner for the past three seasons! He’ll be looking to make it a famous fourth success on the spin this year on the William Haggas-trained Rivet. This horse was last seen running fifth in the Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket a few weeks ago and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths behind another O’Brien runner – the classy Churchill. He was also a course winner of the Champagne Stakes here last month and is if getting the longer trip looks a big player on that form, and for a jockey that knows how to get the job done in this race. Of the others, Salouen would be a huge winner for trainer Sylvester Kirk and has already finished runner-up in his two Group races this season. However, the main threat to O’Brien this year might be from trainer David Elsworth, who saddles Sir Dancealot. This horse was an easy winner of the Group Three Rockingham Stakes last time out at York and who feel that he won with a bit more in-hand than the ¾ winning margin indicated. Yes, this step up from 6f to a mile is an unknown, but he’s won over 7f and is likely to be switched-off at the back of the field in order to get the extra yardage