Two that I like friday 25/11/2016

[ganjaman2]

Two runners I like tomorrow, the first of which is OUR KAEMPFER who will be looking to get off the mark at the third attempt over fences at Newbury (1.35). , I think this horse can do well over fences but it is interesting that connections have decided to stick to 2m4f for the time being as I think he will improve a lot for going up to 3m. Perhaps the presence of a certain Thistlecrack in the 3m novice on Saturday discouraged them from going down that route and he will also be given a mark after this, so handicaps will be an option for him. In terms of tomorrow’s race, he could find things tough with both Grade 1 hurdler One Track Mind and the smart Protek Des Flos rated as exciting chasing prospects by connections. We do have both chasing experience and race fitness on our side which should make the difference and he also wears a tongue-tie for the first time, in a bid to eke out further improvement. In truth, I think that handicaps is where this horse’s future lies but this race could be run a bit quicker than his last race which should suit and I think he is worth a small win bet with experience on his side.

Advice

OUR KAEMPFER – 1pt win @ 8/1 (bet365, BetVictor)



THE second runner of the afternoon is one of our newest additions to the list, BEHIND TIME who bids to follow up his Cheltenham success at Newbury tomorrow afternoon (3.20). Harry Fry’s five-year-old is due to go up 13lb in the handicap but with his success having come in a conditional riders’ race, he escapes a penalty in this contest. The step up to 3m should hold no fears for him and he should step forward a good deal from his first run of the season. He takes on some smart rivals including Grade 2 winner El Bandit but Paul Nicholls gelding does concede the best part of two stone to our horse. The runner-up from Cheltenham Solomn Grundy also returns for another crack but it is hard to see him reversing the placings here. All in all this looks a good opportunity for him to win again before his mark goes up and it is hard to see past him tomorrow.

Advice

BEHIND TIME – 2pts win @ 11/10 (Betfair Sportsbook)