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  1. #1
    DF VIP Member ganjaman2's Avatar
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    Default one i like for saturday

    Quinz - 3.00 Kempton - He is currently trading at 8-1 on Betfair and i think that is serious e/w value as i feel absolutely certain he'll finish in the first 3 and i reckon he's good enough to win. I've watched all his races today and He is a fantastic jumper, actually one of the best jumpers in the novice ranks in my opinion, which is very important in this race. Nacarat's main asset is his jumping and he looks sure to go well for a third year in a row. Quinz has to carry 11st which may seem like a lot on what he has achieved though he is a very big horse and looks the type that would carry any weight easily enough. I thought they made far too much use of him at cheltenham the last day, which set the race up for Time for Rupert. He was a well beaten 3rd that day after not quite getting home, though if you watch the closing stages again when Dickie Johnson knew he was beaten he eased of him completely and probably would have been a lot closer to 2nd had he not. Being a flat track(in comparison to cheltenham) Kempton looks sure to suit and he is guaranteed to stay the 3 miles having won twice over the distance going right handed. The ground tomorrow is forecast as good to soft which should be near enough his ideal going. Philip Hobbs has this lad entered in the national and he looks the type that could run that close in a year or two (Is a very similar type of horse in my opinion to big fella thanks who finished 3rd in a better renewal of this race two years ago). Of the opposition Fistral beach and Nacarat look the dangers. I'm not convinced by Fistral beach as to me he does not jump well enough. I backed him in this race last year where he fell, and putting that down to a once off i backed him nto, where he jumped terribly and was beaten a long way by Prince De Beauchanene. They claim to have sorted some of his problems out with a wind op but i don't see that improving his jumping enough to win this. Nacarat is nearly impossible to rule out and has been in very good form this season though i can't help feeling that if he was going to win this race twice, then he missed his chance last season as only 1 horse has won this race twice in the last 20 years, Docklands Express and he did it in consecutive years. I was quite sweet on Bakbenscher earlier this week but after watching some of his races I don't think he'll be able to cope with the pace Nacarat will set and his jumping will suffer as a result. The ground and the fact that his last run was only 13 days ago are also negatives. This trip looks to long for Hey Big Spender and he seems better in a smaller field and also has a lot of weight. So with his 4 main rivals ruled out (sort of!) i can see Quinz sitting just off the pace behind Nacarat and Hey Big Spender before pressing on 3 to stretch the field out. I have to admit that i'm slightly worried that something down the weights could collar him close home but for me he is a confident shout to win (or at least be in the first 3!) 8/1

  2. #2
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    ilscuro's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    10 quid each way mate, lets hope he wins

  3. #3
    DF MaSter ukjaxx's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Thanks pal will have a look.

    4.55 Lingfield No 12 Mister Green -Looks a good E/W chance today. Forget his last start because he could not stay 1an1/2 miles in a horse box. That's what my contact said about him and he takes the eye big time, back to a mile off bottom weight. A big run is expected.
    good luck

  4. #4
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Havent had a flutter for a while - stuck £10 on each way - fingers crossed.
    Come and have a go if you think you're hard enough! - http://toastlad.mybrute.com

  5. #5
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    TIN CAN's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    £10 win for me.....
     iPhone 6 baby...
     iMac 24", 2.4Ghz, 500GB, 4GB RAM
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  6. #6
    DF VIP Member ganjaman2's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    hope you were on -get in QUINZ

  7. #7
    DF VIP Member KevinJB88's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Wow! Why did I see this too late!?

    Got any more lol

  8. #8
    DF VIP Member
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    3:00

    1st 5 Quinz (R Johnson, 8-1 );
    2nd 9 Mount Oscar (A Coleman, 50-1 );
    3rd 1 Nacarat (P J Brennan, 5-1 2nd-fav);
    4th 2 Hey Big Spender (J Tizzard, 12-1 );
    16 ran. 10 Fistral Beach (A P McCoy, 9-2 fav);


    What do i get back from a 10 quid each way bet at 8-1, is it 90 quid?

    And thanks ganjaman2

  9. #9
    DF VIP Member KevinJB88's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Think its about a quarter of the bet? So maybe £20? Not too sure.

  10. #10
    DF VIP Member ganjaman2's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    120 back mate well done

  11. #11
    DF VIP Member
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Quote Originally Posted by KevinJB88 View Post
    Think its about a quarter of the bet? So maybe £20? Not too sure.
    Ok mate, i just thought if it won it was full odds?
    still happy though, just wish i'd put a grand on it now lol


    Quote Originally Posted by ganjaman2 View Post
    120 back mate well done
    Thank you for the great tip mate, will follow you every saturday now, so no pressure eh lol

  12. #12
    DF VIP Member KevinJB88's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Quote Originally Posted by ganjaman2 View Post
    120 back mate well done
    O_O WOW!

  13. #13
    DF VIP Member
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    You dancer! That's 120 back for me!

    Nice one ganjaman!

    Sent from my Nexus S using Tapatalk
    Come and have a go if you think you're hard enough! - http://toastlad.mybrute.com

  14. #14
    DF VIP Member ganjaman2's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    your welcome mate enjoy your winnings

  15. #15
    DF MaSter ukjaxx's Avatar
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    Default Re: one i like for saturday

    Cheers Ganja top man saved me mine flopped

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