The Irish 2000 Guineas takes place at the Curragh on Saturday 21st May. In recent times Aidan O達rien has proven the only trainer capable of keeping the prize in Ireland, winning 6 of the last 14 runnings, with the other 8 going back across the Irish Sea to Great Britain. Besides Aidan O達rien, Vincent O達rien in 1988 was last Irish trainer to win this race.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age
Race for 3yos

Breeding
Irish bred: 6-14-60
American bred: 3-3-24
British bred: 1-1-16
French bred: 0-0-1
German bred: 0-0-0
7 of 10 winners (last 4) were sired by a group 1 winner
8 of 10 winners were sired by a horse that had won over no further than 1M
10 of 10 winners were born before 9th April

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners won first time out as a 2yo (exception was a maiden before winning this)
10 of 10 winners had had 4 to 8 career starts
10 of 10 winners had run that season
10 of 10 winners ran in the last 21 days
7 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F
8 of 10 winners had won a group or listed race (other 2 placed in group company)
8 of 10 winners (last 7) finished in first 4 in a group 1 (5 won)
4 of 10 winners had won at the Curragh (5 of 6 exceptions were having their first course start)

Other Races
Highest placed finisher from the 2000 Guineas: 5102421181 (5-1-10)
English 2000 Guineas winner (Frankel): 1211 (3-1-4)
National Stakes winner (Pathfork): 1221 (2-2-4)
Coventry Stakes winner (Strong Suit): 11 (2-0-2)
Phoenix Stakes winner (Zoffany): 321 (1-2-3)
Dewhurst winner (Frankel): 132 (1-2-3)
Prix Jean Luc Lagardere winner (Wootton Bassett): 12 (1-1-2)
Killavullan Stakes winner (Dubai Prince): 37422 (0-3-5)
Leopardstown 2000G Trial winner (Dunboyne Express): 8234249 (0-3-7)
Futurity Stakes winner (Pathfork): 22 (0-2-2)
Anglesey Stakes winner (Dunboyne Express): 2 (0-1-1)
Tyros Stakes winner (Zoffany): 2 (0-1-1)
9 of 10 winners (last 9) ran in the English 2000 Guineas last time, finishing 107541153
3 of 10 winners ran in the Coventry Stakes, finishing 611
3 of 10 winners ran in the Champagne Stakes, finishing 252
3 of 10 winners ran in the Dewhurst Stakes, finishing 104
2 of 10 winners ran in the Gimcrack Stakes, finishing 16
2 of 10 winners ran in the Phoenix Stakes, finishing 21
2 of 10 winners ran in the Tattersall Stakes, finishing 36
2 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Jean Luc Lagardere, finishing 14
From 2001 to 2010: 29 colts ran in this after English 2000 Guineas, 16 improved position, 6 finished worse & 7 finished in same position.

Trainers
10 of 10 winners were trained by Aidan O達rien or in Great Britain
Aidan O達rien (4-7-36) has won 4 of the last 10 however his runners have made up almost a third of the total to go to post in the race in the past 10 years.
British-trained runners (6-3-27) have won 6 of the past 10 runnings.
Richard Hannon (1-1-3), Saeed Bin Suroor (1-0-1) and Jeremy Noseda (1-0-1) are the only other trainers with entrants to have won it in the past 10 years.
Jim Bolger (0-4-7) and John Oxx (0-2-5) have each saddled multiple placed runners.

Price
9 of 10 winners (last 9) came from the first 4 in the betting
Favourites (5-5-11) have won 5 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 1.20 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
ｷ Sire won a group 1 over 6F to 8F
ｷ Born before 9th April
ｷ Had 4 to 8 career starts
ｷ Won first time out as a 2yo
ｷ Run in the past 21 days
ｷ Won a group or listed race
ｷ Finished in first 4 in a group 1
ｷ Ran in the English 2000 Guineas last time out
ｷ Trained by Aidan O達rien or in Britain
ｷ From first 4 in the betting