The Tattersalls Gold Cup takes place on the undercard of the Curragh’s 1000 Guineas day on Sunday 22nd May. It’s a group 1 race run over 1M 2½F and has been won by some top class horses since the start of the new millennium, including Montjeu, Fantastic Light and Hurricane Run. It’s slightly disappointing to see that only 10 horses have been entered at the 5-day stage this year, 6 of which are trained by Aidan O’Brien.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age
4yo: 8-8-40
5yo: 2-3-18
6yo: 0-0-3
7yo+: 0-1-2
8 of 10 winners were aged 4yo, though they have represented approximately 63.5% of the total runners.
The two 5yo winners were the only two winners trained in Britain.

Gender
The 10 mares to run in this race have finished 8182286233 (1-2-10)

Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners won over 1M 2F+
10 of 10 winners had won a Group 1 or 2
7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (3 exceptions placed in a group 1)
10 of 10 winners had run no more than twice that season
6 of 10 winners had won at the Curragh (2 exceptions were having first course start and other two had finished in the first 3 in a group 1 here)
10 of 10 winners were officially rated 110 or higher

Other Races
Mooresbridge Stakes winner (So you Think): 6131 (2-0-4)
Trigo Stakes winner (Famous Name): 272 (0-2-3)
Amethyst Stakes winner (Famous Name): 24 (0-1-2)
Heritage Stakes winner (Famous Name): 64 (0-0-2)
Meld Stakes winner (Famous Name): 79 (0-0-2)
5 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Irish Derby, finishing 61121 (one other finished 7th in the Irish Oaks)
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's French Derby, finishing 52
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Epsom Derby, finishing 32
4 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Arc, finsihing 0016
3 of 10 winners ran in the Irish Champion Stakes, finishing 422
3 of 10 winners ran in the Newmarket Champion Stakes, finishing 866
2 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Ganay last time, finishing 91
2 of 10 winners ran in Mooresbridge Stakes last time, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the Judmonte International Stakes, finishing 14
2 of 10 winners ran in the Newmarket Champion Stakes, finishing 88
2 of 10 winners ran in the Eclipse, finishing 52
2 of 10 winners ran in the Alleged Stakes, finishing 13

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (4-2-12) has won 4 of the last 8 runnings of this race.
Dermot Weld (2-1-8) trained the winner in 2005 and saddled the first two home in 2009.
Saeed Bin Suroor (1-2-7) won the race in 2001 but his two runners since 2004 have both finished second last when fancied.
British-trained runners (2-5-22) have won only 2 of the last 10 from approximately 35% of the total runners.

Price
10 of the last 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter
Nine runners has been the biggest field for this race since 2001 so it’s no surprise that all winners have been short enough in the betting.
Favourites (4-4-10) have won 4 of the last 10 however 4 of the 7 odds-on favourites to run in this have been turned over in the past decade. Favourites show a level stakes loss of 3.64 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 4 or 5
· Won over 1M 2F or further
· Won a group 1 or 2 (finished in first 3 in a group 1)
· Course winner (or having first start here)
· Officially rated 110+
· Ran in the Irish, Epsom or French Derby’s last season
· Ran in last season’s Arc and/or Irish Champion Stakes
· Trained by Aidan O’Brien or Dermot Weld
· Priced 7/1 or below