The Investec Entrepreneurial Class "Dash" is a class 2 handicap run over 5 furlongs, which takes place on the undercard of the Derby Day at Epsom on the 4th June. Dandy Nicholls and Stuart Williams have accounted for 6 of the last 9 winners and both have entries in this year’s race.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 0-0-9
4yo: 1-5-39
5yo: 1-8-33
6yo: 4-7-39
7yo: 1-1-23
8yo+: 3-7-30
Horses aged 3 to 5: 2-13-81
Horses aged 6 or older: 8-15-92
Weight (Win-Place-Runners)
Horses carrying 9-7 or more: 1-6-16
Horses carrying 9-0 to 9-6: 3-10-55
Horses carrying 8-7 to 8-13: 4-9-71
Horses carrying 8-6 or less: 2-3-31
No very strong trend on the weights carried though in recent years lower weights have fared better with 4 of the 5 last winners carrying 8-9 or less.
Horses carrying 8-10 or more: 4-18-100
Horses carrying 8-9 or less: 6-10-73
Horses carrying a penalty: 0-3-12
Top weight: 453307375095 (0-4-11)
Official Ratings
Horses rated 100 or higher: 2-8-34
Horses rated 90 to 99: 5-12-89
Horses rated 89 or lower: 3-7-50
This race was changed from a listed handicap to class 2 in 2004, since then official ratings stats are:
Horses rated 100 or higher: 1-3-17
Horses rated 90 to 99: 3-10-67
Horses rated 89 or lower: 3-7-50
In the past 3 years all 3 winners were rated 89 or lower and they also accounted for 7 of 12 places since 2008.
Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had run 1 to 4 times that season (exception had 7 runs)
7 of 10 winners had yet to win that season
9 of 10 winners had run in past 4 weeks
10 of 10 winners had run in at least 8 handicaps (winning at least 2)
10 of 10 winners had won over 5F
9 of 10 winners had won over 6F
9 of 10 winners had won a race worth 10K+
8 of 10 winners had won at class 2 or higher
9 of 10 winners had contested a listed or group race
Other Races
Previous season's winner (Bertoliver): 5000048 (0-1-7)
S. Norton Handicap winner (Sohraab): 1 (1-0-1)
Queensferry Stakes winner (Masamah): 09 (0-0-2)
Betfred Be Friendly Handicap winner (Confessional): 70 (0-0-2)
Gosforth Park Cup winner (Captain Dunne): 00 (0-0-2)
Investec Asset Management Handicap winner (Falasteen): 706 (0-0-3)
5 of 10 winners ran in Investec Asset Management Handicap, finishing 62733
4 of 10 winners ran in York’s Sportingbet.com Sprint, finishing 0830
3 of 10 winners ran in Chester Victor Chandler Handicap, finishing 915
3 of 10 winners ran in previous Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 000
3 of 10 winners ran in previous Coral Sprint Trophy, finishing 000
Trainers
Dandy Nicholls (4-5-36) has won 4 of the last 10 runnings, though he has saddled around 21% of the total runners since 2001.
Stuart Williams (2-2-5) has a fine record in this, gaining 2 wins (33/1 & 7/1) and 2 places (20/1& 9/2) from 5 runners in past 10 years.
John Quinn (1-1-6) and Kevin Ryan (1-0-10) are the only other 2 trainers to have saddled the winner since 2001.
Draw
Horses draw 1 to 7: 1-9-70
Horses draw 8 to 14: 5-11-64
Horses drawn 15 to 20: 4-8-39
9 of 10 winners were drawn 8 or higher
The only winner drawn lower than 8 was in 2002 when there was only 11 runners.
Price
7 of 10 winners were priced between 7/1 and 16/1
No very strong trends on prices, though this is a race where we’ve seen a few upsets in the last 10 years, most notably last year with a 33/1 winner.
The favourite (1-2-14) last won the race in 2001 and over the past 10 years the market leader shows a level stakes loss of 6.25.
Summary:
Based on the trends from past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 6 or older
· Carrying 8-9 or lower
· Officially rated 89 or below
· Run 1 to 4 times this season
· Had last run in past 28 days
· Won over 5F and 6F
· Won at class 2 or higher
· Has run in a group or listed race
· Finished in first 7 in Investec Asset Management Handicap
· Ran in Sportingbet.com Sprint and/or Chester VC Handicap
· Drawn 8 or higher
· Trained by Dandy Nicholls or Stuart Williams
Social Networking Bookmarks