HAYDOCK SPRINT CUP TRENDS 2011

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The Betfred Sprint Cup takes place at Haydock on Saturday 3rd September. It’s a six-furlong group 1 open to horses aged 3 and above. The winners of the two 6F group 1’s in Britain this season, Dream Ahead and Society Rock, could lock horns in this.


Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 3-4-34
4yo: 2-9-42
5yo: 3-3-28
6yo+: 2-4-34
No strong trends here with the ages of the winners being fairly evenly spread out.

Gender
Fillies/mares (2-4-18) have done well in this group 1, gaining 2 wins and filling 20% of the places from just 13% of the total runners.

Recent/Past Form
7 of 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time (2 of 3 exceptions unplaced in a group 1 on previous start)
10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season
8 of 10 winners (last 7) achieved highest RPR in last 3 runs
9 of 10 winners had won a listed race or higher (exception 2nd in a group 1)
6 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts
9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception won Nunthorpe last time)

Other Races
Hackwood Stakes winner (Deacon Blues): 10336 (1-2-5)
Temple Stakes winner (Sole Power): 3104 (1-1-4)
Duke Of York Stakes winner (Delegator): 717500020 (1-1-9)
Greenlands Stakes winner (Hitchens): 01 (1-0-2)
Middle Park winner (Dream Ahead): 9239 (0-2-4)
July Cup winner (Dream Ahead): 620526 (0-2-6)
Skybet Dash winner (Hoof It): 2 (0-1-1)
Wokingham winner (Deacon Blues): 53 (0-1-2)
Chipchase Stakes winner (Genki): 8430 (0-1-4)
Golden Jubilee winner (Society Rock): 8205 (0-1-4)
Bengough Stakes winner (Bewitched): 09 (0-0-2)
King George Stakes winner (Masamah): 68 (0-0-2)
Leisure Stakes winner (Bated Breath): 800 (0-0-3)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Temple Stakes, finishing 3518
3 of 10 winners ran in the Nunthorpe last time, finishing 214
3 of 10 winners ran in the King's Stand, finishing 702
3 of 10 winners ran in the Golden Jubilee, finishing 649
2 of 10 winners ran in the Duke Of York Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in the Hackwood Stakes, finishing 16
2 of 10 winners ran in Prix Maurice De Gheest last time, finishing 22

Trainers
Roger Charlton (1-1-6) and Saeed Bin Suroor (1-1-7) have each trained the winner and a placed finisher in the past 10 years.
William Haggas (0-1-1), Richard Fahey (0-1-3) and Kevin Ryan (0-1-6) are the only other trainers with entries to have saddled a placed finisher since 2001.
Irish-trained horses (0-0-9) have not fared well in this, with all 9 of their representatives finishing unplaced (8 were trained by Aidan O’Brien).

Draw (excluding 2008 running at Doncaster)
Horses drawn bottom 5 stalls: 2-8-45
Horses drawn in middle: 1-5-34
Horses drawn top 5 stalls: 6-5-45
6 of 9 winners (last 2) at Haydock were drawn in top 5 stalls.

Price
7 of 10 winners were priced between 9/1 and 25/1
There have been plenty of double-figure priced winners, including the last 2.
Favourites (2-2-10) have won just 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 1.75.

Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
Fillies & mares do well
Run at least twice in 2011· Finished first or 2nd last time out
Achieved highest RPR in last 3 starts
Won a listed race or higher
Finished in first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 runs
Won over 6F or 7F
Ran in a group 1 sprint at Royal Ascot
Ran in Temple and/or Hackwood Stakes this season
Finished in first 4 in Nunthorpe or Maurice Du Gheest last time
Drawn in top 5 stalls
Trained in Britain