The Tattersalls Gold Cup takes place on the undercard of the Curragh’s 1000 Guineas day on Sunday 27th May. It’s a group 1 race run over 1M 2½F and has been won by some top class horses since the start of the turn of the millennium, including Montjeu, Fantastic Light and Hurricane Run. Last year’s winner, So You Think, looks likely to try and win it for a second year.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:


Age
4yo: 8-8-37
5yo: 2-2-16
6yo: 0-1-3
7yo+: 0-1-2
8 of 10 winners were aged 4yo, though they have represented approximately 59.7% of the total runners. Last year So You Think (5yo) won the race when there were no 4yos represented.

Gender
The 11 mares to run in this race have finished 81822862334 (1-2-11)

Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners won over 1M 2F+
10 of 10 winners had won a Group 1 or 2
7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (all 3 exceptions had been placed in a group 1)
10 of 10 winners had run no more than twice that season
7 of 10 winners had won at the Curragh (1 exception was having first course start & other 2 had finished in the first 3 in a group 1 here)
9 of 10 winners (last 9) were officially rated 116 or higher

Other Races
Previous year's winner (So You Think): 6 (0-0-1)
Previous season's Irish Derby winner (Treasure Beach): 1121 (3-1-4)
Mooresbridge Stakes winner (Windsor Castle): 1311 (3-0-4)
Irish Champion Stakes winner (So You Think): 42 (0-1-2)
Amethyst Stakes winner (Famous Name): 243 (0-1-3)
Previous season's Dance Design Stakes winner (Bible Belt): 3 (0-0-1)
Previous season's Meld Stakes winner (Famous Name): 793 (0-0-3)
5 of 10 winners ran in previous Irish Derby, finishing 61121 (another was 7th in Irish Oaks)
2 of 10 winners ran in the previous season's French Derby, finishing 52
2 of 10 winners ran in the previous season's Epsom Derby, finishing 32
4 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Arc, finishing 0016
3 of 10 winners ran in the Irish Champion Stakes, finishing 422
3 of 10 winners ran in the Newmarket Champion Stakes, finishing 866
3 of 10 winners ran in Mooresbridge Stakes last time, finishing 111
2 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Ganay last time, finishing 91
2 of 10 winners ran in the Judmonte International Stakes, finishing 14
2 of 10 winners ran in the Alleged Stakes, finishing 13

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (5-2-13) has won 5 of the last 9 runnings of this race.
Dermot Weld (2-1-8) trained the winner in 2005 and saddled the first two home in 2009.

Price
10 of 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter
Nine runners has been the biggest field for this race since 2002 so it’s no surprise that all winners have been short enough in the betting.
Favourites (4-4-10) have won 4 of the last 10 however 4 of the 8 odds-on favourites to run in this have been turned over in the past 10 years. Favourites show a level stakes loss of 4.75 over past 10 years.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 4
· Had no more than 2 runs in 2012
· Won over 1M 2F or further
· Won a group 1 or 2 (finished in first 3 in a group 1)
· Course winner (or having first start here)
· Officially rated 116+
· Ran in the Irish, Epsom or French Derby’s last season
· Ran in last season’s Arc and/or Irish Champion Stakes
· Trained by Aidan O’Brien or Dermot Weld
· Priced 7/1 or below