The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes place on Saturday 29th September at Newmarket on the supporting card to the Cambridgeshire. Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, the race was upgraded to group 1 status in 2004 and has been won by some very useful horses including Attraction & Dress To Thrill. Sahpresa has won the last 3 renewals, which has slightly skewed some of the trends.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 6-6-44
4yo: 2-8-27
5yo: 1-2-13
6yo+: 1-1-2
3yos have won 6 of 10 from just over 50% of the total runners.
Sahpresa has accounted for 3 of the 4 wins for older horses.

Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had won a race that year
9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out
8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 109+ last time
9 of 10 winners had run in the last 40 days
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F
6 of 6 winners aged 3 had run 4 to 7 times that season
4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had run 2 to 4 times that season
10 of 10 winners had won listed or group race
7 of 8 winners had won a group race (since it became a group 1)
7 of 10 winners had finished in first 4 in a group 1
4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had finished in first 4 in a group 1

Other races
Record of 2nd & 3rd from Falmouth: 113453631 (3-3-9)
Highest placed finisher from previous year’s Sun Chariot: 548311 (2-1-6)
Horses that ran in Prix Jacques Le Marois to run in this: 141 (2-0-3)
Matron Stakes winner (Chachamaidee): 1553 (1-1-4)
Previous season's Cherry Hinton winner (Gamilati): 1 (1-0-1)
Coral Distaff winner (Falls Of Lora): 54 (0-0-2)
3 of 10 winners ran in the Falmouth, finishing 232
3 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Matron Stakes, finishing 123
2 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Oak Tree Stakes, finishing 55
2 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Brownstown Stakes, finishing 11
2 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Coronation Stakes, finishing 17
2 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas, finishing 11
2 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the English 1000 Guineas, finishing 16
2 of 4 winners aged 4+ ran in Prix Rothschild, finishing 42
2 of 4 winners aged 4+ ran in the Windsor Forrest, finishing 18

Trainers
British-trained runners: 5-16-69
French-trained runners: 3-2-7 (3 wins all Sahpresa)
Irish-trained runners: 2-0-9
German-trained runners: 0-0-1
Irish and French trained runners have gained 5 wins and 2 places from approximately 18.6% of the total runners.
Dermot Weld (1-0-2), Aidan O’Brien (1-0-4) and Mick Channon (1-0-5) have all saddled the winner in the past 10 years.
John Gosden (0-1-1) has seen his 2 runners since 2000 both get placed while Henry Cecil (0-1-3) saddled Chachamaidee to finish runner-up last year.

Price
No strong trends on the prices. 4 of the last 6 winners have gone off between 8/1 & 16/1.
Favourites (2-3-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 5.00.

Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Won a race in 2012
· Finished in first 3 last time & posted an RPR of 109+
· Has run in the last 40 days
· A 3yo that ran run 4 to 7 times in 2012
· Or a 4yo+ that has run 2 to 4 times in 2012
· Has won a group race
· Finished in first 4 in a group 1
· Won over 7F or 8F
· Finished in first 3 in Matron and/or Falmouth Stakes
· Finished in first 5 in Oak Tree Stakes and/or Prix Jacque Le Marois
· Trained in Ireland or France or by Gosden or Channon