HAYDOCK SPRINT CUP TRENDS 2013

**ganjaman2** · 3rd September 2013

The Betfred Sprint Cup takes place at Haydock on Saturday 7th September. It�s a six-furlong group 1 open to horses aged 3 and above. Good recent form in a group 1 sprint has proven crucial to finding the winner of this in latest renewals.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 4-4-34
4yo: 2-10-42
5yo: 3-2-28
6yo+: 1-4-38
3 of 4 winners aged 3 ran in Prix Maurice de Gheest on previous start.
All 4 winners aged 5+ ran in the King�s Stand or Golden Jubilee earlier that year.
Only 2 horses aged older than 5 have managed to win this in past 30 years.

Breeding
9 of 10 winners were sired by group 1 winners over 1M or shorter
9 of 10 winners were by a sire with a stamina index of 7.8F to 9.7F
6 of 10 winners were by a sire that won a group 1 over 5F to 7F
3 of other 4 winners were by a sire that finished 1st or 2nd in the QEII

Gender
Fillies/mares (2-4-17) have done well in this group 1, gaining 2 wins and filling 20% of the places from just under 12% of the total runners.

Recent/Past Form
7 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time out
10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season
8 of 10 winners achieved an RPR of 116+ in last 2 starts
7 of 10 winners (7 of last 8) finished in the first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts
9 of 10 winner had won a listed race or higher (exception was 2nd in a group 1)
9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception won Nunthorpe on previous start)

Other Races
Middle Park winner (Reckless Abandon): 2391 (1-2-4)
Hackwood Stakes winner (Heerat): 10336 (1-2-5)
July Cup winner (Lethal Force): 205261 (1-2-6)
Temple Stakes winner (Kingsgate Native): 310403 (1-2-6)
Prix Morny winner (Reckless Abandon): 91 (1-0-2)
Previous season's Stewards Cup winner (Hawkeyethenoo): 33 (0-2-2)
Stewards' Cup winner (Rex Imperator): 030 (0-1-3)
Golden Jubilee winner (Lethal Force): 056 (0-0-3)
3 of 4 winners aged 3 ran in Prix Maurice De Gheest last time, finishing 227
3 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in the Golden Jubilee, finishing 495
2 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in the Temple Stakes, finishing 18
2 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in the Nunthorpe last time, finishing 14
2 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in the King's Stand, finishing 02
2 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in the Duke Of York Stakes, finishing 23
2 of 6 winners aged 4+ ran in previous year's British Champion Sprint, finishing 10
3 of 10 winners ran in July Cup, finishing 313
2 of 10 winners ran in the Hackwood Stakes, finishing 16

Trainers
John Gosden (0-1-1) trained the winner back in 1993 and has seen 3 of his 5 runners since 2000 finish in runners-up spot.
William Haggas (0-1-1), Mick Easterby (0-1-1) and Tom Hogan (0-1-1) have all seen their one runner in past 10 years get placed.
Irish-trained horses (0-1-10) have not fared well in this, with just 1 of their 10 representatives getting placed (5 were trained by Aidan O�Brien).
Since 2000 the 6 French-trained runners have produced 2 winners and 1 second, 2 of 3 unplaced runners were priced bigger than 16/1.

Draw (excluding 2008 running at Doncaster)
Horses drawn bottom 5 stalls: 3-8-45
Horses drawn in middle: 2-4-37
Horses drawn top 5 stalls: 4-6-45
No strong trends on the draw.

Price
7 of 10 winners were priced between 9/1 and 14/1
No very strong trend on prices.
Favourites (3-2-10) have won 3 of the last 10, giving a level stakes profit of 3.25.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
� Sired by a group 1 winner over 5F to 1M
� Sired with a stamina index of 7.8F to 9.7F
� Run at least twice in 2013
� Achieved an RPR of 116+ in last 2 starts
� Won a listed race or higher
� Finished in first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts
� Won over 6F or 7F
� Finished in first 6 in Diamond Jubilee, Temple and/or Duke Of York Stakes
� Finished in first 4 in July Cup, Nunthorpe or Prix Maurice Du Gheest
� Trained in Britain or France (John Gosden does well)