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    Info HAYDOCK SPRINT CUP TRENDS 2014

    The Betfred Sprint Cup takes place at Haydock on Saturday 6th September. It’s a six-furlong group 1 open to horses aged 3 and above. Good recent form in a group 1 sprint has proven crucial to finding the winner of this in recent renewals.



    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:



    Age (Win-Place-Runners)

    3yo: 3-2-32

    4yo: 2-11-46

    5yo: 4-2-27

    6yo+: 1-5-40

    All 3 winners aged 3 ran in Prix Maurice de Gheest on previous start.

    All 5 winners aged 5+ ran in the King’s Stand or Diamond Jubilee earlier that year.

    Only 2 horses aged older than 5 have managed to win this in past 30 years.



    Breeding

    8 of 10 winners were sired by group 1 winners over 1M or shorter

    8 of 10 winners were by a sire with a stamina index of 6.7F to 8.8F

    5 of 10 winners were by a sire that won a group 1 over 5F to 7F

    3 of other 5 winners were by a sire that finished 1st or 2nd in the QEII



    Gender

    Fillies/mares (2-3-17) have done well in this group 1, gaining 2 wins and filling a sixth of the places from just under 12% of the total runners.



    Recent/Past Form

    7 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time out

    10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season

    9 of 10 winners achieved an RPR of 116+ in last 2 starts

    8 of 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts

    9 of 10 winner had won a listed race or higher (exception was 2nd in a group 1)

    9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception won Nunthorpe on previous start)



    Other Races

    Previous season's winner (Gordon Lord Byron): 26 (0-1-2)

    Middle Park winner (Astaire): 391 (1-1-3)

    Nunthorpe winner (Sole Power): 0210 (1-1-4)

    Temple Stakes winner (Hot Streak): 10403 (1-1-5)

    Hackwood Stakes winner (Music Master): 03360 (0-2-5)

    Sapphire Stakes winner (Fountain Of Youth): 2 (0-1-1)

    Ballyogan winner (Majestic Queen): 2 (0-1-1)

    Cammidge Trophy winner (Dinkum Diamond): 2 (0-1-1)

    Prix de l'Abbaye winner (Maarek): 3 (0-1-1)

    Wokingham winner (Baccarat): 34 (0-1-2)

    Chipchase Stakes winner (Danzeno): 4304 (0-1-4)

    Duke Of York Stakes winner (Maarek): 5000200 (0-1-7)

    Previous season's Bengough Stakes winner (Tropics): 98 (0-0-2)

    Coral Charge winner (Extortionist): 76 (0-0-2)

    Hopeful Stakes winner (Tropics): 79 (0-0-2)

    Dubai World Trophy winner (Maarek): 00 (0-0-2)

    Lennox Stakes winner (Es Que Love): 86 (0-0-2)

    Prix Maurice De Gheest winner (): 226 (0-2-3)

    Highest placed finisher from Prix Maurice De Gheest): 21321466611 (3-3-10)

    4 of 10 winners (including all 3yo winners) ran in Prix Maurice De Gheest last time, finishing 2273

    3 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in the Duke Of York Stakes, finishing 233

    4 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in the Diamond Jubilee, finishing 4954

    2 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in the Temple Stakes, finishing 18

    2 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in the Nunthorpe last time, finishing 14

    2 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in the King's Stand, finishing 02

    2 of 7 winners aged 4+ ran in previous year's British Champion Sprint, finishing 10

    3 of 10 winners ran in July Cup, finishing 313



    Trainers

    Tom Hogan (1-1-2) has saddled Gordon Lord Byron to finish 2nd & 1st in last 2 runnings.

    David Simcock (1-0-1) & Henry Candy (1-0-4) have both trained the winner in past 4 years.

    Eddie Lynam (0-1-2) & Brian Meehan (0-1-2) have both saddled the runner-up in past 4 runnings.

    Since 2000 the 6 French-trained runners have produced 2 winners and 1 second, 2 of 3 unplaced runners were priced bigger than 16/1.



    Draw (excluding 2008 running at Doncaster)

    horses drawn bottom 5 stalls: 4-7-45

    horses drawn in middle: 2-4-40

    horses drawn top 5 stalls: 3-7-45

    No strong trends on the draw.



    Price

    6 of 10 winners were priced between 9/1 and 14/1

    No very strong trend on prices, though 14/1 has been long priced winner since 2004.

    Favourites (3-1-10) have won 3 of the last 10, giving a level stakes profit of 3.25.



    Summary:

    Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

    - Sired by a group 1 winner over 5F to 1M

    - Sired with a stamina index of 6.7F to 8.8F

    - Run at least twice in 2014

    - Achieved an RPR of 116+ in last 2 starts

    - Won a listed race or higher

    - Finished in first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts

    - Won over 6F or 7F

    - Finished in first 6 in Diamond Jubilee, King’s Stand and/or Nunthorpe

    - Finished in first 3 in July Cup, Duke Of York and/or Prix Maurice Du Gheest.

    Thanks to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (1st September 2014) 


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