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    Default MOYGLARE STUD STAKES TRENDS 2014

    The Moyglare Stud Stakes takes places at the Curragh on Sunday 14th September, on the undercard of the Irish St Leger. It is the first group 1 for 2yo fillies run in Ireland. It is run over 7 furlongs and often throws up serious contenders for the following year’s fillies’ classics.



    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:



    Age

    Race for 2yos



    Breeding

    10 of 10 winners were sired by horse that won as a 2yo

    8 of 10 winners were by a group 1 winner (2 exceptions were runner-up in a group 1)

    5 of 10 winners were by Danehill, a son of Danehill or out of a Danehill mare

    3 of 10 winners were by a son of Sadler's Wells



    Recent/Past Form

    8 of 8 Irish-trained winners broke their maiden at Leopardstown, Curragh & Naas

    10 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out

    9 of 10 winners ran in the last 30 days

    10 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time (7 of 10 posted RPR of 103+)

    9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception had placed in a 6F group 1 & group 2)

    9 of 10 winners won or placed at listed level or higher (exception had run once, winning a maiden)

    7 of 10 winners had previously won or been placed at the Curragh (3 exceptions had yet to run at the track)



    Other Races

    Highest placed finisher from Debutante Stakes: 7182132102 (3-3-10)

    Coolmore Stud EBF Fillies Sprint Stakes winner (Beach Belle): 14361 (2-0-5)

    Castlemartin EBF 2yo Fillies Maiden winner (Jeanne Girl): 10 (1-0-2)

    Grangecon Stud Stakes winner (I Am Beautiful): 2246 (0-2-4)

    Albany Stakes winner (Cursory Glance): 062d (0-0-3)

    5 of 10 winners ran in the Debutante Stakes, finishing 31121

    3 of 10 winners ran in the Silver Splash Stakes, finishing 231

    3 of 10 winners won a 7F Fillies Maiden at Leopardstown on undercard of Ballycorus Stakes meeting in June

    3 of 10 winners made debut in 6F Naas Dragon Pulse EBF Fillies maiden, finishing 131

    3 of 10 winners ran in the Coolmore Stud Fillies Sprint Stakes, finishing 122

    2 of 10 winners ran in the Phoenix Stakes, finishing 31



    Trainers

    Aidan O’Brien (3-3-19) has won the race 4 times in the last 11 years. If you focus only on his first strings, his record becomes 2-2-9.

    Kevin Prendergast (2-4-11) has done well in this, saddling 2 winners and 4 places from 11 runners.

    Jim Bolger (1-2-18) has saddled the winner and 2 placed finishers from 18 runners since 2004.

    The Richard Hannon yard (1-0-4) won this with Sky Lantern in 2012.

    Mick Channon (0-1-2) & Jessica Harrington (0-1-2) have both saddled the runner-up in past 10 years.

    British-trained runners (2-2-15) have been responsible for the past 2 winners



    Price

    No very strong trends on prices with 3 winning favourites and other 7 going off between 13/2 & 16/1 in past 10 years.

    Backing the favourite (3-4-10) shows a level stakes loss of 4.60 since 2004.



    Summary:

    Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

    - Sired by a group 1 winner who won as a 2yo

    - Ideally by a son of either Danehill or Sadler’s Wells

    - Finished in the first 3 last time, posting career high RPR of 103+

    - Won maiden at Leopardstown, Naas or Curragh

    - Ran in last 30 days

    - Won over 6F or 7F

    - Won or placed in a listed or group race

    - Won or placed at the Curragh (or having first course start)

    - Finished in the first 3 in the Debutante Stakes

    - Finished in first 3 in Silver Flash, Phoenix and/or Coolmore Stud Fillies Sprint

    - Trained by Aidan O’Brien, Kevin Prendergast or in Great Britain.

    Thanks to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (10th September 2014) 


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