The Moyglare Stud Stakes takes places at the Curragh on Sunday 14th September, on the undercard of the Irish St Leger. It is the first group 1 for 2yo fillies run in Ireland. It is run over 7 furlongs and often throws up serious contenders for the following year’s fillies’ classics.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Race for 2yos
10 of 10 winners were sired by horse that won as a 2yo
8 of 10 winners were by a group 1 winner (2 exceptions were runner-up in a group 1)
5 of 10 winners were by Danehill, a son of Danehill or out of a Danehill mare
3 of 10 winners were by a son of Sadler's Wells
8 of 8 Irish-trained winners broke their maiden at Leopardstown, Curragh & Naas
10 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out
9 of 10 winners ran in the last 30 days
10 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time (7 of 10 posted RPR of 103+)
9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception had placed in a 6F group 1 & group 2)
9 of 10 winners won or placed at listed level or higher (exception had run once, winning a maiden)
7 of 10 winners had previously won or been placed at the Curragh (3 exceptions had yet to run at the track)
Highest placed finisher from Debutante Stakes: 7182132102 (3-3-10)
Coolmore Stud EBF Fillies Sprint Stakes winner (Beach Belle): 14361 (2-0-5)
Castlemartin EBF 2yo Fillies Maiden winner (Jeanne Girl): 10 (1-0-2)
Grangecon Stud Stakes winner (I Am Beautiful): 2246 (0-2-4)
Albany Stakes winner (Cursory Glance): 062d (0-0-3)
5 of 10 winners ran in the Debutante Stakes, finishing 31121
3 of 10 winners ran in the Silver Splash Stakes, finishing 231
3 of 10 winners won a 7F Fillies Maiden at Leopardstown on undercard of Ballycorus Stakes meeting in June
3 of 10 winners made debut in 6F Naas Dragon Pulse EBF Fillies maiden, finishing 131
3 of 10 winners ran in the Coolmore Stud Fillies Sprint Stakes, finishing 122
2 of 10 winners ran in the Phoenix Stakes, finishing 31
Aidan O’Brien (3-3-19) has won the race 4 times in the last 11 years. If you focus only on his first strings, his record becomes 2-2-9.
Kevin Prendergast (2-4-11) has done well in this, saddling 2 winners and 4 places from 11 runners.
Jim Bolger (1-2-18) has saddled the winner and 2 placed finishers from 18 runners since 2004.
The Richard Hannon yard (1-0-4) won this with Sky Lantern in 2012.
Mick Channon (0-1-2) & Jessica Harrington (0-1-2) have both saddled the runner-up in past 10 years.
British-trained runners (2-2-15) have been responsible for the past 2 winners
No very strong trends on prices with 3 winning favourites and other 7 going off between 13/2 & 16/1 in past 10 years.
Backing the favourite (3-4-10) shows a level stakes loss of 4.60 since 2004.
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Sired by a group 1 winner who won as a 2yo
- Ideally by a son of either Danehill or Sadler’s Wells
- Finished in the first 3 last time, posting career high RPR of 103+
- Won maiden at Leopardstown, Naas or Curragh
- Ran in last 30 days
- Won over 6F or 7F
- Won or placed in a listed or group race
- Won or placed at the Curragh (or having first course start)
- Finished in the first 3 in the Debutante Stakes
- Finished in first 3 in Silver Flash, Phoenix and/or Coolmore Stud Fillies Sprint
- Trained by Aidan O’Brien, Kevin Prendergast or in Great Britain.