Close

Results 1 to 1 of 1
  1. #1
    DF Jedi ganjaman2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    croseyceiliog
    Posts
    1,945
    Thanks
    358
    Thanked:        1,657
    Karma Level
    318

    Info SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2014

    The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes place at Newmarket on Saturday 4th October. Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, the race was upgraded to group 1 status in 2004 and French-trained runners have won 4 of the last 5 renewals (with Sahpresa winning 3 in a row between 2009 & 2011).





    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

    Age (Win-Place-Runners)
    3yo: 5-7-39
    4yo: 3-7-26
    5yo: 1-2-14
    6yo+: 1-1-2
    3yos have won 5 of 10 from slightly less than 50% of the total runners.
    Sahpresa & Siyouma (both French-trained) have accounted for 4 of 5 wins for older horses.
    The only horse aged older than 4 to win this in past 50 years has been Sahpresa, who this aged 4, 5 & 6.

    Recent/Past Form


    10 of 10 winners had won a race that season
    9 of 10 winners finished in the first 4 last time out
    9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 107+ last time
    8 of 10 winners had run in the last 45 days
    9 of 10 winners had run 4 to 7 times that season
    8 of 10 winners had won a group race (exceptions had finished 3rd & 4th group 1 that season)
    8 of 10 winners had finished in first 4 in a group 1
    5 of 5 winners aged 4+ had finished in first 4 in a group 1
    9 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F (exception was placed in 1M group 1 on only previous start over than 1M 2F)

    Other races


    Previous season's winner (Sky Lantern): 11 (2-0-2)
    Coronation Stakes winner (Rizeena): 1721 (2-1-4)
    1000 Guineas winner (Miss France): 1021 (2-1-4)
    Duke Of Cambridge winner (Integral): 122323 (1-4-6)
    Moyglare Stud Stakes winner (Rizeena): 1 (1-0-1)
    Fred Darling Stakes winner (J Wonder): 461 (1-0-3)
    Atlanta Stakes winner (Fintry): 3482 (0-2-4)
    Oak Tree winner (J Wonder): 5932 (0-2-4)
    Prix de Sandringham winner (Fintry): 3 (0-1-1)
    Prix Rothschild winner (Esoterique): 24 (0-1-2)
    Dahlia winner (Esoterique): 35524 (0-1-5)
    Sceptre Stakes (Kiyoshi): 6866 (0-0-4)
    Falmouth Stakes winner (Integral): 47484 (0-0-5)
    Record of 2nd & 3rd from Falmouth: 113453631211 (5-4-12)
    5 of 10 winners ran in the Falmouth, finishing 23232
    2 of 10 winners ran in Prix Jacque Le Marois, finishing 03
    3 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Coronation Stakes, finishing 171
    3 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the English 1000 Guineas, finishing 161
    2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in Nell Gwyn, finishing 22
    2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Nassau Stakes, finishing 15
    2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Matron Stakes, finishing 23
    2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Oak Tree Stakes, finishing 55
    2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas, finishing 11
    2 of 5 winners aged 4+ ran in Prix Rothschild, finishing 42
    2 of 5 winners aged 4+ ran in Duke Of Cambridge Stakes, finishing 18

    Trainers


    British-trained runners: 5-16-61
    French-trained runners: 4-1-7
    Irish-trained runners: 1-0-12
    German-trained runners: 0-0-1
    French trained runners have won 4 of last 5 and were not represented last year.
    Michael Stoute (1-5-11) has saddled a winner and 5 places from 11 runners since 2004.
    The Richard Hannon yard (1-0-1) won this with Sky Lantern last year.
    Aidan O’Brien (1-0-5) trained Halfway To Heaven to win this in 2008.
    Alain De Royer-Dupre (0-1-2) & Brian Meehan (0-1-2) have both saddled a placed finisher in past 6 years.

    Price


    No strong trends on the prices. 6 of 10 winners have gone off between 8/1 & 16/1 while the other 4 were all sent off shorter than 5/1.
    Favourites (2-3-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 4.62.



    Summary:


    Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:


    - Finished in first 4 last time & posted an RPR of 107+
    - Has run in the last 45 days
    - Run 4 to 7 times in 2014 (and won at least once)
    - Has won a group race
    - Finished in first 4 in a group 1
    - Won over 7F or 8F
    - Finished in first 3 in Falmouth Stakes
    - 3yo that finished in first 3 in Coronation, Matron Stakes, Nell Gwyn, Irish or English 1000 Guineas or
    - 4yo that ran in Duke Of Cambridge and/or Prix Rothschild
    - Trained in France.

    2 Thanks given to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (29th September 2014), neilb (29th September 2014) 


Similar Threads

  1. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2016
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 26th September 2016, 06:29 PM
  2. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 28th September 2015, 08:44 PM
  3. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2013
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 24th September 2013, 12:59 AM
  4. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2012
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 25th September 2012, 03:52 PM
  5. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2011
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 20th September 2011, 01:08 PM

Social Networking Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •