The Dubai Fillies’ Mile, which used to take place at Ascot, will now be run at Newmarket on Friday 17th October. A group 1 run over a mile for 2yo fillies, it gives the winner automatic qualification to the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Race for 2yos
2 of 10 winners were sired by Sadler's Wells
2 of 10 winners were sired by Dynaformer
3 of 10 winners were by or out of a mare by Danehill
9 of 10 winners made their racecourse debut in June, July or August
7 of 10 winners won last time out (3 exceptions were 2nd in a class 1 race)
10 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 104+ last time
8 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F (exceptions: 2nd in Group 1 over 7F and 2nd in group 2 over a mile)
10 of 10 winners ran in the last 30 days
9 of 10 winners had run 2 to 4 times
8 of 10 winners had won a listed or group race (2 exceptions were 2nd in listed race or group 2 last time)
7 of 10 winners had never finished outside the first 3
5 of 10 winners had won at Newmarket (3 exceptions were having first course start)
May Hill Stakes winner (Agnes Stewart): 13111113 (6-1-8)
Rockfel Stakes winner (Lucida): 2 (0-1-1)
7 of 10 winners ran in the May Hill last time, finishing 1112111
3 of 10 winners ran in the Sweet Solera, finishing 111
2 of 10 winners ran in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, finishing 72
2 of 10 winners ran in the Princess Margaret Stakes, finishing 33
Mahmood Al Zarooni (2-0-2) & Saeed Bin Suroor (1-1-3) have trained 3 of the last 4 winners for Godolphin. Both Bin Suroor and Jim Bolger (0-0-2) have entries for Godolphin in this year’s race.
Aidan O’Brien (1-2-7) trained the winner in 2007 and seen 3 of his 7 runners make the frame.
9 of 10 winners were priced 8/1 or below
Since 2004 only 2 horses priced above 5/1 has won this, Hibaayeb at 8/1 in 2009 & Chriselliam at 28/1 in 2013.
Favourites (4-3-10) have won of the last 10 but show a level stakes loss of 1.96.
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Made debut in June, July or August
- Had at least 2 career starts
- Won last time out, posting highest RPR of 104+ (or placed in a class 1 race)
- Ran in last 45 days
- Won over 7F or 1M
- Won a listed or group race
- Previously won at Newmarket (or having first course start)
- Won the May Hill and/or Sweet Solera Stakes
- Godolphin runners do well
- Priced 5/1 or shorter.