Close

Results 1 to 1 of 1
  1. #1
    DF Jedi ganjaman2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    croseyceiliog
    Posts
    1,952
    Thanks
    362
    Thanked:        1,658
    Karma Level
    323

    Info SKY BET CHASE TRENDS 2015

    The Listed Sky Bet (Handicap) Chase (formerly the Great Yorkshire) is run over 3 miles for 5yos and upwards and takes place at Doncaster on Saturday 24th January. It is generally won by less exposed chasers who are proven over the 3 mile trip. The race was held at Southwell in 2006 & 2007 and was abandoned in 2010, 2011 & 2013.





    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 runnings (2002-2014):



    Age (Win-Place-Runners)
    6yo: 0-1-7
    7yo: 3-2-12
    8yo: 2-4-31
    9yo: 3-4-42
    10yo: 2-8-26
    11yo+: 0-3-23
    horses aged 6 to 8 have a combined record of 5-7-50.
    horses aged 9+ have a combined record of 5-15-91.

    Weight (Win-Place-Runners)


    horses allotted 10-12 or more: 5-12-75
    horses allotted 10-11 or less: 5-10-66
    Not a whole lot to go on, though 6 of last 7 winners carried 10-9 or more.
    Top Weight: PFF9P4P0P13 (1-2-11)
    Since 2000 the record of horses carrying a 6lb penalty: 3161 (2-1-4)

    Official Ratings


    horses rated 137 or over: 1-8-46
    horses rated 128 to 136: 6-4-50
    horses rated 127 or below: 3-10-45
    The last 7 winners have been rated 128 or higher (6 of 7 rated 128 to 136)

    Recent/Past Form


    9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 on 1 of their last 2 completed starts
    9 of 10 winners (last 9) posted an RPR of 129+ in last 2 completed starts
    7 of 10 winners had run in the past 35 days
    10 of 10 winners had run 1 to 4 times since August
    8 of 10 winners had run in no more than 10 chases
    7 of 10 winners had run in no more than 6 handicap chases (3 exceptions had run in 8, 10 & 17)
    8 of 10 winners had won no more than 2 handicap chases (2 exceptions had won 3)
    6 of 10 winners were 2nd season chasers
    9 of 10 winners had won over 3M+ (1 exception was a maiden who had been runner-up over 4M 1F)
    10 of 10 winners had won at a left-handed track

    Other Races


    Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase winner (Present View): 4 (0-0-1)
    Bet365.com Handicap Chase winner (Grandads horse): P (0-0-1)
    2 of 10 winners (last 2) ran in previous year's Grand National, finishing FU
    4 of 10 winners (4 of last 6) contested a class 2 or higher chase at either Cheltenham November meeting or New Year meeting

    Trainers


    Paul Nicholls (2-1-8) has won 2 of the last 7 renewals of this and saddled a placed finisher last year.
    Keith Reveley (0-2-4), Gary Moore (0-2-4), Nicky Henderson (0-2-6) & Sue Smith (0-2-12) have each saddled a couple of placed finishers in last 10 runnings.

    Racing Tactics


    6 of last 7 winners were held up in midfield or in rear

    Price


    8 of 10 winners were priced between 4/1 and 12/1
    No very strong trend on prices, 7 of 10 winners were sent off 9/1 or shorter, though last 2 winners went off at 12/1 & 25/1.
    Favourites (2-2-12) have won 2 of last 10 runnings, giving a level stakes profit of 1.50.



    Summary:


    Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:


    - Aged 7 to 10
    - Finished in the first 2 in 1 or both of last 2 completed starts
    - Posted an RPR of 129+ in last 2 completed chase starts
    - Carrying 10-9 or more
    - Officially rated between 128 and 136
    - Run in no more than 6 handicap chases
    - 2nd season chasers do well
    - Won over at least 3 miles
    - Won at a left-handed track
    - Contested a class 2 or higher chase at Cheltenham November or New Year meeting
    - Trained by Paul Nicholls, Keith Reveley or Gary Moore.

    2 Thanks given to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (20th January 2015), neilb (20th January 2015) 


Similar Threads

  1. BETFAIR CHASE TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 17th November 2015, 06:38 PM
  2. OLD ROAN CHASE TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 21st October 2015, 02:53 PM
  3. BETBRIGHT CHASE TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 18th February 2015, 01:27 AM
  4. ASCOT CHASE TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 10th February 2015, 08:37 PM
  5. BETBRIGHT CUP CHASE TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 20th January 2015, 11:59 PM

Social Networking Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •