Close

Results 1 to 1 of 1
  1. #1
    DF Jedi ganjaman2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    croseyceiliog
    Posts
    1,945
    Thanks
    358
    Thanked:        1,657
    Karma Level
    318

    Info NELL GWYN STAKES TRENDS 2015

    The Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes takes place at Newmarket on Wednesday 15th April. It is a group 3 run over 7 furlongs and is one of the main trials for the 1000 Guineas.

    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

    Age
    Race for 3yo fillies

    Breeding
    9 of 10 winners were by a sire who won a group 1 over a mile or shorter at 2 or 3

    Weight
    Only 6 fillies have carried a 3lb penalty in this since 2005, 2 have won and the other 4 were placed.

    Recent/Past Form
    9 of 10 winners were having their first run of the season (exception was 3rd in a Kempton condition stakes)
    10 of 10 winners had won a race as a 2yo
    9 of 10 winners had their last start between 19th September and 3rd November
    5 of 10 winners ran at Newmarket on their previous turf start
    10 of 10 winners had won over 6F to 8F
    5 of 10 winners had won a listed or group race (3 of 5 exceptions won their maiden on last start and other 2 had placed in listed company)
    4 of 10 winners had won at Newmarket (4 exceptions had not run here and 1 other was placed on only course start in a listed race)

    Other Races
    Highest placed finisher from the Rockfel: 31100 (2-1-5)
    Highest placed finisher from the Albany Stakes: 026831 (1-2-6)
    Dick Poole Fillies' Stakes winner (New Providence): 3 (0-1-1)
    Sweet Solera Stakes winner (Muraaqaba): 0 (0-0-1)
    Watch German Races Live At german-tote.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes winner (Marsh Hawk): 8 (0-0-1)
    Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises EBF Fillies Conditions Stakes winner (Marsh Hawk): 5 (0-0-1)
    Cheveley Park Stud Nursery winner (Astrelle): 00 (0-0-2)
    British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes winner (Muraaqba): 664 (0-0-3)
    Bosra Sham Stakes winner (Terror): 506 (0-0-3)
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Firth Of Clyde Stakes, finishing 03
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Rockfel Stakes, finishing 11
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Albany Stakes, finishing 32

    Trainers
    Richard Fahey (2-1-4) trained the winner in 2011 & 2014 and a placed finisher in 2012. His 2011 winner, Barefoot Lady, was runner-up in Rockingham Stakes on previous start, just like Bond’s Girl.
    John Gosden (2-1-7) trained the winner in 2005 & 2008.
    Richard Hannon (1-1-5) saddled the winner in 2012 & 2nd in 2013.
    Marco Botti (0-1-2) and David Simcock (0-1-3) have both saddled 1 placed finisher.

    Price
    No strong trends on prices though 3 of the last 4 winners went off 14/1, 28/1 & 10/1.
    Favourites (3-4-10) have won 3 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 3.70.

    Summary:
    Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a filly:
    - Sired by horse who won a group 1 as a 2yo or 3yo
    - Having first turf start of the season
    - Had last turf run between 19th September and 3rd November
    - Won a race over 6F to 8F as a 2yo
    - Course winner (or having first run here)
    - Won a group or listed race (or won maiden last time out)
    - Ran at Newmarket on last turf start
    - Finished in first 3 in Rockfel, Albany and/or Firth Of Clyde Stakes
    - Trained by John Gosden or Richard Fahey

    Thanks to ganjaman2

    Bald Bouncer (14th April 2015) 


Similar Threads

  1. SUN CHARIOT STAKES TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 28th September 2015, 08:44 PM
  2. GREENLANDS STAKES TRENDS 2015
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 21st May 2015, 09:29 AM
  3. NELL GWYN STAKES TRENDS 2014
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 14th April 2014, 10:11 PM
  4. NELL GWYNN STAKES TRENDS 2013
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 14th April 2013, 11:03 PM
  5. NELL GWYNN STAKES TRENDS 2011
    By ganjaman2 in forum Gamblers Anonymous
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 11th April 2011, 01:43 PM

Social Networking Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •