TEMPLE STAKES TRENDS 2015

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The Betfred Temple Stakes is a group 2 sprints over 5F, which takes place at Haydock on Saturday, 23rd May. Prior to 2008 the race was run at Sandown. In the past 7 years it has been won by the likes of Fleeting Spirit, Kingsgate Native, Sole Power and Bated Breath.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age
3yo: 2-1-16
4yo: 2-3-18
5yo: 3-5-23
6yo: 0-5-26
7yo+: 3-6-23
The ages of the winners have been fairly well spread out over past 10 years.
Since 2002, the record of 3yos that had won or placed in a group 1 as a 2yo: 151341 (3-1-6)
2 of last 3 winning 3yos were fillies that had finished in first 2 in Cheveley Park Stakes last time.
2 of 3 winners aged 7+ came from the David Barker yard.

Gender


Fillies & mares (3-2-14) have won 3 of the last 10 from just 17.4% of total runners.
Since 2003, the record of female runners priced 10/1 or lower: 1R9231511 (4-2-9)

Weight


Penalty structure for this race has changed, formerly winners of a group 2 received a 4lb penalty and winners of a group 1 received a 7lb penalty, now only group 1 winners are penalised to the tune of 4lbs.
horses carrying a group 1 penalty: 08503 (0-1-5)
horses carrying a group 2 penalty: 7585217 (1-1-7)
The last 2 winners that managed to carry any sort of penalty were both 3yo fillies, who were receiving age and gender allowances.

Recent/Past Form


3 of 10 winners were making their seasonal debut (all 3 had finished in first 2 in group 1 sprint the previous season)
7 of 7 winners to have already run that year finished in first 4 last time, posting an RPR of 104+
8 of 10 winners (last 4) posted an RPR of 107+ last time
9 of 10 winners had won over 5F (exceptions beaten a neck in a 6F group 1 on penultimate start)
All 10 winners had won over 5 or 6 furlongs
7 of 10 winners (last 7) had won a listed or group sprint


6 of 10 winners (last 5) had finished in first 2 in a group 1

Other Races


Beverley Bullet Sprint winner (Pearl Secret): 17 (1-0-2)
King George Stakes winner (Take Cover): 9148 (1-0-4)
Shergar Cup Dash winner (Goldream): 3 (0-1-1)
Palace House Stakes winner (Goldream): 204 (0-1-3)
Chipchase Stakes winner (Danzeno): 5 (0-0-1)
Hever Sprint Stakes winner (Pretend): 84 (0-0-2)
Scurry Stakes winner (Wind Fire): 06 (0-0-2)
Rous Stakes winner (Justice Day): 7048 (0-0-4)
5 of 7 male winners ran in that year's Palace House Stakes, finishing 44323
3 of 7 male winners ran in previous year's Nunthorpe Stakes, finishing 619
2 of 7 male winners ran in previous year's Scarborough Stakes, finishing 17
2 of 7 male winners ran in previous year's Golden Jubilee Sprint, finishing 50
Last 2 female winners aged 3 ran in Cheveley Park Stakes last time, finishing 12
2 of 2 female winners aged 4+ ran in previous season's Henry Gee Stakes, finishing 02
3 of 10 winners ran in previous King George Stakes, finishing 781
3 of 10 winners ran in previous season's World Trophy, finishing 842
2 of 10 winners ran in Cammidge Trophy that year, finishing 32

Trainers


Robert Cowell (1-3-6) saddled the winner in 2013 and a placed finisher in 2011, 2012 & 2014.
Kevin Ryan (1-2-9) won this with Hot Streak in 2014 and also saddled 2 other placed finishers.
Eddie Lynam (1-1-3) has saddled Sole Power to finish 1st, 2nd & 4th 3 renewals between 2011 & 2013.

Draw (based on 7 runnings at Haydock)
horses drawn 1 to 5: 5-8-35
horses drawn 6 or higher: 2-6-38
5 of 7 winners of this at Haydock were drawn in stalls 1 to 5.

Price


7 of 10 winners were sent off 8/1 or shorter
Favourites (4-3-11) have won 4 of last 10 & show a £1 level stakes profit of £1.50.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Female runners do well (especially 3yos that had placed in a group 1)
- Having first run this season or finished in first 4 last time
- Posted an RPR of 108+ last time
- Has won over 5F (or won/placed in a 6F group 1)
- Won a listed or group sprint
- Previously finished in first 2 in a group 1
- Ran in Nunthorpe, World Trophy, King George Stakes and/or Diamond Jubilee in 2014
- Finished in first 4 in Palace House and/or Cammidge Trophy in 2015
- Drawn 1 to 5
- Trained by Robert Cowell, Kevin Ryan or Eddie Lynam.