EPSOM DASH TRENDS 2015

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The Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" is a class 2 handicap run over 5 furlongs, which takes place on the undercard of the Derby Day at Epsom on Saturday 6th June. The Boodles Diamond Handicap at Chester has been a very good guide for this race, with 4 of last 10 winners finishing in first 5 in that race the previous month.





Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:



Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 0-1-9
4yo: 3-9-48
5yo: 1-8-34
6yo: 5-6-45
7yo: 0-2-24
8yo+: 1-4-26
9 of 10 winners were aged 4 to 6, though they have represented around 68.3% of total runners.

Weight (Win-Place-Runners)


horses carrying 9-7 or more: 2-4-16
horses carrying 9-0 to 9-6: 3-9-59
horses carrying 8-7 to 8-13: 3-12-66
horses carrying 8-6 or less: 2-5-45
No very strong trend on the weights.
horses carrying a penalty: 0-5-17
Top weight: 3750951904 (1-2-10)

Official Ratings


horses rated 100 or higher: 2-8-36
horses rated 90 to 99: 5-14-94
horses rated 89 or lower: 3-8-56
The last 4 winners have been rated 105-93-97-97 and 7 of the 8 horses to make the places in last 2 runnings were rated 97 or higher.

Recent/Past Form


9 of 10 winners had had 1 to 4 turf starts that season (exception having first run of year)
9 of 10 winners had run in past 35 days
7 of 10 winners had run in at least 15 handicaps
9 of 10 winners had won at least 2 handicaps
10 of 10 winners had won over 5F


8 of 10 winners had won over 6F
9 of 10 winners had won a race worth 9K+


8 of 10 winners had gained highest grade win at class 2 or 3
8 of 10 winners had contested a listed or group race

Other Races


Previous season's winner (Caspian Prince): 004809 (0-1-6)
Record of first 5 from Boodles Diamond Handicap: 18519338210571 (4-3-14)
Highest placed finisher from the Boodles Diamond Handicap: 1833701571 (3-2-10)
Betfred Racing's Biggest Supporter H'cap winner (Humidor): 301 (1-1-3)
Investec Asset Finance Handicap winner (Monumental Man): 07901 (1-0-5)
32RedSport.com Sprint winner (Barnet Fair): 2 (0-1-1)
Unibet Handicap winner (Boom The Groom): 3 (0-1-1)
Titanbet.co.uk Spring Sprint winner (Monsieur Joe): 58 (0-0-2)
4 of 10 winners ran in Boodles Diamond Handicap, finishing 1522
3 of 10 winners ran in Investec Asset Management Handicap, finishing 733
3 of 10 winners ran in Betfred Supports Jack Berry House H'cap, finishing 830
3 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 000
3 of 10 winners ran in previous season's King George Stakes, finishing 070
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Coral Sprint Trophy, finishing 00
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's City Wall Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Wokingham H'cap, finishing 00

Trainers


Dandy Nicholls (2-4-34) has won 4 of the last 13 runnings, all 4 of those winners were aged 6 or older.
Tim Easterby (1-2-8) has saddled the winner and a couple of placed finishers since 2005.
John Best (1-0-1) trained Stone Of Folca to win this in 2012 at 50/1 and Tony Carroll (1-0-1) won this with Caspian Prince in 2014, who is entered again.
Simon Dow (0-2-5) has saddled 2 placed finishers in last 10 years.
Roger Varian (0-1-1), Clive Cox (0-1-1) & Peter Crate (0-1-2) have all filled 1 place in past 3 runnings.

Draw
horses draw 1 to 7: 1-8-70
horses draw 8 to 14: 4-12-70
horses drawn 15 to 20: 5-10-46
9 of 10 winners were drawn 8 or higher
The only horse drawn lower than 8 to take this in past 10 years was shock winner Stone Of Folca at 50/1 in 2012.

Price


8 of 10 winners were priced between 5/1 and 14/1
No very strong trends on prices, though this is a race where we’ve seen a few upsets in recent years, with a 33/1 winner in 2010 and a 50/1 victor in 2012.
The favourite (1-4-14) won this in 2013, though that was the first winning favourite since 2001. In past 10 years they show a level stakes loss of 4.00.



Summary:


Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:


- Aged 4 to 6
- Had 1 to 4 turf starts this season
- Had last run in past 35 days
- Won over 5F and 6F
- Gained highest grade win in class 2 or 3
- Won a race worth 9K+
- Has run in a group or listed race
- Finished in first 3 in Investec Asset Finance Handicap
- Finished in first 5 in Betfred Racing's Biggest Supporter H'cap and/or Boodles Diamond H'cap
- Ran in 2014 Ayr Gold Cup and/or King George Stakes
- Drawn 8 or higher (ideally 15 or higher)
- Trained by Dandy Nicholls or Tim Easterby.