The Coronation Stakes is one of 2 group 1’s on day 4 of the Royal Ascot meeting. Run over a mile for 3yo fillies, it brings together the best female milers of this year’s Classic generation.





Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:



Age (Win-Place-Runners)
Race for 3yo fillies

Breeding


9 of 10 winners were sired by a horse with a stamina index of 7.0F to 9.7F
6 of 10 winners were sired by a group 1 winner over 9F or shorter (exceptions were sired by Jersey Stakes winner, Indian Ridge, Derby winner, Galileo, Danisli, runner-up in French 2000 Guineas & Queen Anne and Iffraaj, runner-up in July Cup)

Recent/Past Form


10 of 10 winners won on one of their first two starts as a 2yo
9 of 10 winners had had at least 5 career starts (exception won 1000 Guineas on third start)
10 of 10 winners had previously achieved an RPR of 109+
3 of 10 winners won last time out (5 of 7 others finished in the first 7 in a Classic)
10 of 10 winners had run in the past 50 days
9 of 10 winners had won a group race (exception a neck 2nd in group 2)
5 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (2 others had finished in first 3 in a group 1)
7 of 10 winners had won a group race over 7F or 8F (2 exceptions had won a sales race worth 130K+ over 7-8F)
8 of 10 winners had won a race worth 63K+
2 of 10 winners had won at Ascot (1 exception was placed on only run here and other 7 were having first course start)

1000 Guineas’s


English 1000 Guineas winner (Legatissimo): 698181 (2-0-6)
English 1000 Guineas highest placed finisher to run in this: 6984135819 (2-1-10)
Irish 1000 Guineas winner (Qualify): 108743 (1-1-6)
French 1000 Guineas winner (Ervedya): 34 (0-1-2)
7 of 10 winners ran in the English 1000 Guineas, finishing 2056117
2 of 10 winners ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas last time out, finishing 55
1 of 10 winners ran in the French 1000 Guineas, finishing 11th

Other Races


Fillies Mile winner (Together Forever): 13 (1-1-2)
Rockfel winner (Lucida): 198543 (1-1-6)
£300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Fillies' Trophy winner (Osaila): 14 (1-0-2)
Debutante Stakes winner (Raydara): 716 (1-0-3)
Prestige Stakes winner (Malabar): 1980 (1-0-4)
Prix de la Grotte winner (Mexican Gold): 3722 (0-3-4)
Nell Gwynn winner (Osaila): 2962435 (0-3-7)
May Hill Stakes winner (Agnes Stewart): 343 (0-2-3)
Fred Darling winner (Redstart): 375047 (0-1-6)
Prix Marcel Boussac winner (Found): 86 (0-0-2)
C.L. Weld Stakes winner (Qualify): 494 (0-0-3)
Princess Margaret winner (Osaila): 664 (0-0-3)
Oh So Sharp Stakes winner (Local Time): 400 (0-0-3)
Duchess Of Cambridge winner (Arabian Queen): 070 (0-0-3)
Michael Seely Memorial Stakes winner (Sperry): 88086 (0-0-5)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Fillies Mile, finishing 2152
3 of 10 winners ran in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, finishing 311
2 of 10 winners ran in the Princess Margaret Stakes, finishing 34
2 of 10 winners ran in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, finishing 42
2 of 10 winners ran in the Sweet Solera Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in the May Hill, finishing 32
2 of 10 winners ran in the Prestige Stakes, finishing 12
2 of 10 winners ran in Coolmore Fillies Sprint, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, finishing 88

Trainers


British trained runners: 6-11-75
Irish trained runners: 3-4-30
French trained runners: 1-4-13
German trained: 0-1-2
Other: 0-0-3
John Gosden (2-4-7) has gained 2 wins and 4 places from 7 runners.
Jim Bolger (1-1-5) won this with Lush Lashes in 2008.
Aidan O’Brien (1-1-12) has saddled a winner and a placed finisher but 10 of his 12 have been unplaced, including 2 favourites.
Clive Brittain (1-0-6) won this with Rizeena in 2014.
Andreas Wohler (0-1-1), Jean Claude Rouget (0-1-3) & Mick Channon (0-1-8) have all saddled 1 placed finisher.
Michael Stoute (0-0-5) won this in 2003 but has seen his 5 runners in last 10 years finish unplaced.

Draw (excluding 2005 when run at York)
horses drawn 1 to 3: 2-4-27
horses drawn 4 to 6: 1-4-27
horses drawn 7 to 9: 2-7-27
horses drawn 10 or higher: 4-3-32
8 of the last 10 winners at Ascot were drawn in top or bottom 3 stalls.

Price


9 of 10 winners were priced 8/1 or below
Fallen For You’s win in 2012 at 12/1 has been the biggest upset in the past 10 years with the other 9 winners coming from the first 4 in the betting.
Favourites (4-1-13) have won 4 of the last 10, giving a level stakes profit of 3.75.



Summary:


Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:


- Sired by a group 1 winner with a stamina index of 7.0F to 9.7F
- Won one of first two races as a 2yo
- First 3 in Sweet Solera, May Hill, Prestige, Moyglare Stud, Coolmore Sprint and/or Fillies Mile
- Ran in the past 50 days
- Won a group race over 7F or 8F
- Previously achieved an RPR of 109+ in a race
- Finished in first 3 in a group 1
- Won a race worth 63K+
- Ran in the English 1000 Guineas
- Finished in first 7 in one of the three major 1000 Guineas’
- Trained by John Gosden
- Drawn in top or bottom 3 stalls
- Priced 8/1 or below (favourite does well]