The Betway Great Voltigeur Stakes takes place on Wednesday, 17th August, on the opening day of the York Ebor meeting. A group 2, run over a mile and a half for 3yos only, it is generally considered as one of the best trials for the final classic of the year, the St Leger, with Milan, Rule Of Law and Lucarno all pulling off the double since 2000.

Below we take a look at trends for past 10 renewals at York (2005-2015):

Age


Race for 3yos

Breeding


Progeny of Galileo: 642542734219753732 (1-6-18)
Progeny of Sea The Stars: 41 (1-0-2)
9 of 10 winners were by a sire with a stamina index of 9.5F+
8 of 10 winners were by a group 1 winner (2 exceptions were by Dynaformer, multiple graded winner in USA)

Weight


horses who have won a group 2 race in 2016 receive a 3lb penalty. Since 2004, nine runners have run under this 3lb penalty and all 9 have been beaten with just 2 making the places.
The prices of the 9 runners to attempt to carry a penalty have been 5/2, 11/4, 3/1, 4/1, 4/1, 9/2, 5/1, 8/1 & 12/1.

Recent/Past Form


9 of 10 winners finished in the first 4 last time
9 of 10 winners (last 9) posted an RPR of 109+ last time out (exception won maiden on previous start)
9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F+
8 of 10 winners had finished in first 3 in a listed or group race (2 exceptions were trained by Michael Stoute, both run once and won once that season)
4 of 10 winners finished in first 4 in a group 1 (5 of 6 others yet to run in group 1)
0 of 10 winners had won a group 1 or 2

Other Races


Highest placed finisher from Epsom Derby (): 28113281 (3-3-8)
Highest placed finisher from Irish Derby (): 5392361 (1-3-7)
Highest placed finisher from Dante (): 21333 (1-2-5)
Highest placed finisher from Racing Post Trophy (): 4832 (0-2-4)
Highest placed finisher from King Edward VII (): 589354526 (0-1-9)
Bahrain Trophy winner (Housesofparliament): 16 (1-0-2)
London Gold Cup winner (Imperial Aviator): 2 (0-1-1)
King Edward VII winner (Across The Stars): 893556 (0-1-6)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Epsom Derby, finishing 4343
3 of 10 winners ran in the King Edward VII, finishing 924
2 of 10 winners ran in Tercentenary Stakes, finishing 33
2 of 10 winners ran in Fairway Stakes, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in Cocked Hat Stakes, finishing 11

Trainers


Michael Stoute (3-1-8) has saddled 3 of last 10 winners of this at York.
John Gosden (2-1-5) trained back to back winners in 2007 & 2008.
Michael Channon (1-0-3) trained the winner in 2006.
Aidan O’Brien (0-8-17) trained the winner in 2001 & 2003 and has saddled a placed finisher in 4 of last 5 renewals, in which he’s had a representative. But he hasn’t won any of the last 10 renewals at York, record of his first string reads 36223252 (0-4-8).
Roger Charlton (0-1-2) trained the runner-up in 2011.

Price


7 of 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting
The 3 winners since 2002 to go off bigger than 6/1 were Youmzain in 2006 at 12/1, Monitor Closely in 2009 at 28/1 & Thought Worthy at 9/1 in 2012.
Favourites (3-5-10) have won 3 of the last 10 runnings at York & show a £1 level stakes loss of 1.75.

Summary:


Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:


- Sired by group 1-winner with a stamina index of 9.5F+
- Not carrying a group 1 or 2 penalty
- Finished in the first 3 last time out, posting an RPR of 109+
- Won over 1M 2F+ (or placed at group level over 1M 2F+)
- Finished in first 3 in a group race
- Highest placed finisher from Epsom Derby to run in this does well
- Finished 2nd to 4th in Dante, Tercentenary, Irish Derby and/or King Edward VII
- Trained in Great Britain (especially by Michael Stoute or John Gosden)