The Dubai Fillies’ Mile, which used to take place at Ascot, will now be run at Newmarket on Friday 8th October. A group 1 run over a mile for 2yo fillies, it gives the winner automatic qualification to the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age
Race for 2yos

Breeding
3 of 3 Aidan O’Brien trained winners were by Sadlers Wells or his son, Galileo
Progeny of Galileo: 82841541 (2-1-8)
Progeny of Iffraaj: 212 (1-2-3)

Recent Form
9 of 10 winners made their racecourse debut in June, July or August
7 of 10 winners won last time out (3 exceptions were 2nd in a class 1 race)
10 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 101+ last time
10 of 10 winners ran in the last 30 days
8 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F (exceptions: 2nd in Group 1 over 7F and 2nd in group 2 over a mile)
9 of 10 winners (last 9) had run 2 to 5 times
8 of 10 winners had won a listed or group race (2 exceptions were 2nd in listed race or group 2 last time)
4 of 7 British-trained winners had won at Newmarket (2 exceptions were having first course start)

Other Races
May Hill Stakes winner (Rich Legacy): 1111132 (5-2-7)
British Stallion Studs E B F Maiden Fillies' Stakes winner (Easy Victory): 21 (1-1-2)
Colchester Cancer Centre Campaign Fillies Maiden winner (Grecian Light): 1 (1-0-1)
Stride By TRM EBF Stallions Maiden winner (Spatial): 717 (1-0-3)
Debutante Stakes winner (Rhodedendron): 5 (0-0-1)
Prix Six Perfections winner (Asidious Alexander): 5 (0-0-1)
Sea The Moon EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes winner (Wuheida): 356 (0-0-3)
6 of 7 British-trained winners ran in the May Hill last time, finishing 112111
3 of 7 British-trained winners ran in the Sweet Solera, finishing 111
3 of 10 winners ran in the Moyglare Stud Stakes, finishing 721
3 of 3 Aidan O'Brien winners finished in first 2 in a class 1 race at Curragh last time
2 of 3 Aidan O'Brien winners ran in Debutante Stakes, finishing 12

Trainers
Aidan O’Brien (3-2-8) has saddled 3 winners, 3 seconds and a third from his last 9 runners in this.
Mahmood Al Zarooni (2-0-2) & Saeed Bin Suroor (1-1-6) have trained 3 of the last 6 winners for Godolphin.
Hugo Palmer (0-1-1) saddled the 3rd in 2015.

Price
9 of 10 winners were priced 8/1 or below
Chriselliam at 28/1 in 2013 has been the one big shock winner in past 10 years.
Favourites (5-3-10) have won 5 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 0.29.

Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Made debut in June, July or August
- Had at least 2 career starts
- Won last time out, posting highest RPR of 104+ (or placed in a class 1 race)
- Ran in last 30 days
- Won over 7F or 1M
- Won a listed or group race
- Previously won at Newmarket (or having first course start)
- Won the May Hill and/or Sweet Solera Stakes
- Trained by Aidan O’Brien (& sired by Galileo or a Godolphin runner
- Priced 8/1 or shorter